Marie Bouzkova vs Maja Chwalinska
Updated
Maja Chwalinska beat Marie Bouzkova 1-6, 6-1, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Marie Bouzkova at 70%. Maja Chwalinska leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Bouzkova is 6-4 in their last 10, Chwalinska 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Marie Bouzkova a 70% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: +1 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marie Bouzkova at -227 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Marie Bouzkova | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7083 | 7071 |
| Tour rank | WTA #28 | WTA #32 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 6 Wins |
| Season record | 37-23 | 43-21 |
| UTR | 12.58 | 12.57 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1888 | 1780 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Maja Chwalinska leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | 1-6, 6-1, 6-1 | China Wuhan |
Recent form
Marie Bouzkova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Sara Bejlek | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Anastasia Zakharova | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Kamilla Rakhimova | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | L | 1-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 12.10.2026 | Clara Tauson | W | 6-1, 2-0 |
| 05.10.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | L | 7-6, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 03.10.2026 | Kimberly Birrell | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Sonay Kartal | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 05.09.2026 | Iga Swiatek | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
Maja Chwalinska, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Iga Swiatek | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Maria Sakkari | W | 6-0, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Iva Jovic | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Marie Bouzkova | W | 1-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Mayar Sherif | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Dayana Yastremska | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 26.09.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | L | 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Elise Mertens | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Oleksandra Oliynykova | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Marie Bouzkova | Maja Chwalinska |
|---|---|---|
| Anhelina Kalinina | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 5-7, 6-2, 6-1 |
| Elise Mertens | 0-2 L 6-4, 6-4, L 6-2, 6-2 |
2-0 W 6-2, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-0 |
| Iga Swiatek | 0-2 L 7-6, 7-6, L 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
| Iva Jovic | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
| Leylah Fernandez | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
0-1 L 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Mirra Andreeva | 0-3 L 6-4, 6-2, L 7-6, 6-2, L 6-3, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | 1-0 W 3-1 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-1 |
| Qinwen Zheng | 0-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-0 |
| Sonay Kartal | 1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Talia Gibson | 1-0 W 6-1, 3-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-1 |
| Taylor Townsend | 0-3 L 7-6, 7-5, L 6-3, 7-5, L 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: WTA Wuhan (China), model gave Marie Bouzkova 70% at -227
Marie Bouzkova vs Maja Chwalinska: quick answers
Who won Marie Bouzkova vs Maja Chwalinska?
Maja Chwalinska beat Marie Bouzkova 1-6, 6-1, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Marie Bouzkova at 70%.
What is the head-to-head record between Marie Bouzkova and Maja Chwalinska?
Maja Chwalinska leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Maja Chwalinska 1-6, 6-1, 6-1 at China Wuhan.
Who is in better form, Marie Bouzkova or Maja Chwalinska?
Marie Bouzkova is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Maja Chwalinska is 8-2 (current streak: 6 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Marie Bouzkova and Maja Chwalinska?
Marie Bouzkova is rated 7083 (WTA #28) and Maja Chwalinska is rated 7071 (WTA #32). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Marie Bouzkova vs Maja Chwalinska?
Marie Bouzkova is priced at -227 and Maja Chwalinska at +170, which implies a 69% and 37% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.