Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari
Updated
Maja Chwalinska beat Maria Sakkari 6-0, 3-6, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Maria Sakkari at 57%. Maja Chwalinska leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Chwalinska is 8-2 in their last 10, Sakkari 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Maria Sakkari a 57% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Maria Sakkari at -143 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Maja Chwalinska | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7071 | 7067 |
| Tour rank | WTA #32 | WTA #37 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 6-2 | 6-2 |
| Current streak | 6 Wins | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 43-21 | 30-22 |
| UTR | 12.57 | 12.38 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1780 | 1833 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Maja Chwalinska leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | 6-0, 3-6, 7-5 | China Wuhan |
| 30.05.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | 1-6, 6-3, 6-2 | France Paris |
Recent form
Maja Chwalinska, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Iga Swiatek | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Maria Sakkari | W | 6-0, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Iva Jovic | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Marie Bouzkova | W | 1-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Mayar Sherif | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Dayana Yastremska | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 26.09.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | L | 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Elise Mertens | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Oleksandra Oliynykova | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
Maria Sakkari, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Yulia Putintseva | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | L | 6-0, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Mia Pohankova | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Marta Kostyuk | W | 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Donna Vekic | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 05.10.2026 | Elina Svitolina | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 03.10.2026 | Storm Hunter | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Talia Gibson | L | 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Nao Hibino | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 22.09.2026 | Linda Fruhvirtova | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Maja Chwalinska | Maria Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Alycia Parks | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
1-1 W 6-4, 6-3, L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Emma Raducanu | 0-1 L 6-0, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
| Iga Swiatek | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
1-2 L 4-6, 6-1, 6-1, L 6-3, 6-2, W 2-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Mirra Andreeva | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-0, 6-4 |
| Qinwen Zheng | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-0 |
0-1 L 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Robin Montgomery | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
1-0 W 2-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
| Talia Gibson | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: WTA Wuhan (China), model gave Maja Chwalinska 43% at +100
Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari: quick answers
Who won Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari?
Maja Chwalinska beat Maria Sakkari 6-0, 3-6, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Maria Sakkari at 57%.
What is the head-to-head record between Maja Chwalinska and Maria Sakkari?
Maja Chwalinska leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Maja Chwalinska 6-0, 3-6, 7-5 at China Wuhan.
Who is in better form, Maja Chwalinska or Maria Sakkari?
Maja Chwalinska is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 6 Wins). Maria Sakkari is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Maja Chwalinska and Maria Sakkari?
Maja Chwalinska is rated 7071 (WTA #32) and Maria Sakkari is rated 7067 (WTA #37). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari?
Maja Chwalinska is priced at +100 and Maria Sakkari at -143, which implies a 50% and 59% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.