Maeve Thornton vs Rinon Okuwaki
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Rinon Okuwaki, giving them a 76% chance to win against Maeve Thornton (24%). Rinon Okuwaki leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Thornton is 4-6 in their last 10, Okuwaki 7-3. At -217, the odds imply 68% for Rinon Okuwaki, below the model's 76%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Rinon Okuwaki a 76% favorite. At -217 the sportsbook implies 68% for Rinon Okuwaki, 8 points below the model's 76%.
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Rinon Okuwaki at -217 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Maeve Thornton | Rinon Okuwaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6155 | 6242 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1464 | WTA #1174 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 2-0 | 4-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Wins |
| Season record | 12-8 | 16-8 |
| UTR | 10.1 | 10.78 |
Head to head
Rinon Okuwaki leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Rinon Okuwaki | 6-3, 1-6, 6-2 | USA UTR Pro Match Series |
Recent form
Maeve Thornton, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Rinon Okuwaki | L | 6-3, 1-6, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Alexandra Grilliot | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Nadia Elle Valdez | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | Elle Warren | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 13.09.2026 | Alice Battesti | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 12.09.2026 | Stefani Webb | W | 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 10.09.2026 | Nadia Elle Valdez | L | 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 09.09.2026 | Luciana Perry | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 08.09.2026 | Audrey Aulia | W | 4-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 07.9.2026 | Audelie Lesauvage | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
Rinon Okuwaki, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Maeve Thornton | W | 6-3, 1-6, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Nadia Elle Valdez | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Alexandra Grilliot | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Donna Le Roux | L | 3-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 10.10.2026 | Nicole Sifuentes | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Christian Chin | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Linea Bajraliu | L | 7-5, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 25.09.2026 | Ekaterina Ivanova | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Helena Buchwald | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Gian Octa | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Maeve Thornton | Rinon Okuwaki |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Grilliot | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
| Nadia Elle Valdez | 1-1 W 7-6, 6-3, L 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: WTA UTR Pro Match Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Maeve Thornton 24% at +143
Maeve Thornton vs Rinon Okuwaki: quick answers
Who will win Maeve Thornton vs Rinon Okuwaki?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Rinon Okuwaki, giving them a 76% chance to win against Maeve Thornton (24%).
What is the head-to-head record between Maeve Thornton and Rinon Okuwaki?
Rinon Okuwaki leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Rinon Okuwaki 6-3, 1-6, 6-2 at USA UTR Pro Match Series.
Who is in better form, Maeve Thornton or Rinon Okuwaki?
Maeve Thornton is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Rinon Okuwaki is 7-3 (current streak: 3 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Maeve Thornton and Rinon Okuwaki?
Maeve Thornton is rated 6155 (WTA #1464) and Rinon Okuwaki is rated 6242 (WTA #1174). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Maeve Thornton vs Rinon Okuwaki?
Maeve Thornton is priced at +143 and Rinon Okuwaki at -217, which implies a 41% and 68% chance to win. The model rates Rinon Okuwaki 8 points higher than the odds do (76% vs 68%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.