Madison Sieg vs Sara Saito
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Sara Saito, giving them a 64% chance to win against Madison Sieg (36%). Madison Sieg leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Sieg is 6-4 in their last 10, Saito 5-5. At +103, the odds imply 49% for Sara Saito, below the model's 64%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Sara Saito a 64% favorite. At +103 the sportsbook implies 49% for Sara Saito, 15 points below the model's 64%.
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model minus book: +15 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sara Saito at +103 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Madison Sieg | Sara Saito | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6608 | 6629 |
| Tour rank | WTA #387 | WTA #359 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 3-3 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 34-27 | 29-31 |
| UTR | 11.24 | 11.15 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1349 | 1417 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Madison Sieg leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Madison Sieg | 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 | Canada Toronto |
Recent form
Madison Sieg, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Sara Saito | W | 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Kisa Yoshioka | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 22.10.2026 | Carolina Kuhl | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Valentina Ryser | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Ariana Arseneault | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Jule Niemeier | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Astra Sharma | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 15.09.2026 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 14.09.2026 | Ruth Roura Llaverias | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 13.09.2026 | Tena Lukas | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Sara Saito, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Madison Sieg | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Ariana Arseneault | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Ariana Arseneault | L | 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Linea Bajraliu | W | 6-2, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Clervie Ngounoue | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | L | 6-2, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jamilah Snells | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Clemence Mercier | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | Chenting Zhu | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 20.09.2026 | Alevtina Ibragimova | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Madison Sieg | Sara Saito |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Tikhonova | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 2-6, 7-6 |
| Ariana Arseneault | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
1-1 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-3, L 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Lisa Zaar | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-1 |
| Reese Brantmeier | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: WTA Toronto (XI) (Canada), model gave Madison Sieg 36% at -109
Madison Sieg vs Sara Saito: quick answers
Who will win Madison Sieg vs Sara Saito?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Sara Saito, giving them a 64% chance to win against Madison Sieg (36%).
What is the head-to-head record between Madison Sieg and Sara Saito?
Madison Sieg leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Madison Sieg 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 at Canada Toronto.
Who is in better form, Madison Sieg or Sara Saito?
Madison Sieg is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Sara Saito is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Madison Sieg and Sara Saito?
Madison Sieg is rated 6608 (WTA #387) and Sara Saito is rated 6629 (WTA #359). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Madison Sieg vs Sara Saito?
Madison Sieg is priced at -109 and Sara Saito at +103, which implies a 52% and 49% chance to win. The model rates Sara Saito 15 points higher than the odds do (64% vs 49%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.