Madison Brengle vs Yuki Naito
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Yuki Naito, giving them a 52% chance to win against Madison Brengle (48%). Yuki Naito leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Brengle is 6-4 in their last 10, Naito 8-2. At +183, the odds imply 35% for Yuki Naito, below the model's 52%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Yuki Naito a 52% favorite. At +183 the sportsbook implies 35% for Yuki Naito, 17 points below the model's 52%.
Model minus book: -27 pts
Model minus book: +17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yuki Naito at +183 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Madison Brengle | Yuki Naito | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6689 | 6641 |
| Tour rank | WTA #293 | WTA #343 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 11-4 | 7-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 51-31 | 42-24 |
| UTR | 11.57 | 11.43 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1548 | 1371 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Yuki Naito leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Yuki Naito | 6-1, 6-2 | USA New Braunfels |
| 22.07.2026 | Yuki Naito | 7-6, 5-7, 6-1 | USA Evansville |
Recent form
Madison Brengle, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Yuki Naito | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Lea Nilsson | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 24.10.2026 | Ella Mcdonald | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Elizabeth Mandlik | W | 7-5, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Thea Frodin | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Raquel Caballero Chica | W | 6-0, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sloane Stephens | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Hanna Chang | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Astra Sharma | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Lea Ma | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
Yuki Naito, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Madison Brengle | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 25.10.2026 | Reese Brantmeier | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 24.10.2026 | Ariana Arseneault | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Ayana Akli | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Clemence Mercier | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Annabelle Xu | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Mingge Xu | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Kallista Liu | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Valentina Ryser | W | 6-7, 6-0, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Madison Brengle | Yuki Naito |
|---|---|---|
| Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-2, 7-6 |
| Ayana Akli | 1-0 W 6-3, 1-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Ekaterina Maklakova | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
| Hanna Chang | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
1-0 W 4-3 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Mingge Xu | 1-0 W 2-6, 7-5, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
| Sahaja Yamalapalli | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: WTA New Braunfels (USA), model gave Madison Brengle 48% at -286
Madison Brengle vs Yuki Naito: quick answers
Who will win Madison Brengle vs Yuki Naito?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Yuki Naito, giving them a 52% chance to win against Madison Brengle (48%).
What is the head-to-head record between Madison Brengle and Yuki Naito?
Yuki Naito leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Yuki Naito 6-1, 6-2 at USA New Braunfels.
Who is in better form, Madison Brengle or Yuki Naito?
Madison Brengle is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Yuki Naito is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Madison Brengle and Yuki Naito?
Madison Brengle is rated 6689 (WTA #293) and Yuki Naito is rated 6641 (WTA #343). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Madison Brengle vs Yuki Naito?
Madison Brengle is priced at -286 and Yuki Naito at +183, which implies a 74% and 35% chance to win. The model rates Yuki Naito 17 points higher than the odds do (52% vs 35%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.