Madelynn Ludwig vs Tia Messerli
Updated
Tia Messerli beat Madelynn Ludwig 6-2, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Madelynn Ludwig at 50%. Tia Messerli leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ludwig is 6-4 in their last 10, Messerli 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Madelynn Ludwig a 50% favorite. At +185 the sportsbook implies 35% for Madelynn Ludwig, 15 points below the model's 50%.
Model minus book: +15 pts
Model minus book: -24 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Madelynn Ludwig at +185 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Madelynn Ludwig | Tia Messerli | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5779 | 5987 |
| Tour rank | WTA #3020 | WTA #2188 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Win | 4 Wins |
| Season record | 10-15 | 19-16 |
| UTR | 8.83 | 8.8 |
Head to head
Tia Messerli leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Tia Messerli | 6-2, 7-6 | USA UTR Pro Match Series |
Recent form
Madelynn Ludwig, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Kiana Huerta | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 24.10.2026 | Bella Pitchford | L | 6-3, 0-6, 6-0 |
| 23.10.2026 | Sydney Barnhart | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Tia Messerli | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Gabrielle Leslie | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 25.09.2026 | Anna Klimova | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 25.09.2026 | Ana Gutierrez Sampere | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Adi Bitton | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Nadia Victoria Nemeth | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 01.08.2026 | Milana Tsulygina | L | 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
Tia Messerli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Marley Lambert | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 24.10.2026 | Britney Chiu | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Madelynn Ludwig | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Savannah Schmitz | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Mao Mushika | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 15.09.2026 | Tricia Mar | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 30.08.2026 | Yuna Yang | L | 6-2, 4-6, 10-5 |
| 06.08.2026 | Kaia Giribalan | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 04.08.2026 | Sage Bergeson | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 03.08.2026 | Marley Lambert | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Madelynn Ludwig vs Tia Messerli: quick answers
Who won Madelynn Ludwig vs Tia Messerli?
Tia Messerli beat Madelynn Ludwig 6-2, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Madelynn Ludwig at 50%.
What is the head-to-head record between Madelynn Ludwig and Tia Messerli?
Tia Messerli leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Tia Messerli 6-2, 7-6 at USA UTR Pro Match Series.
Who is in better form, Madelynn Ludwig or Tia Messerli?
Madelynn Ludwig is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Tia Messerli is 6-4 (current streak: 4 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Madelynn Ludwig and Tia Messerli?
Madelynn Ludwig is rated 5779 (WTA #3020) and Tia Messerli is rated 5987 (WTA #2188). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Madelynn Ludwig vs Tia Messerli?
Madelynn Ludwig is priced at +185 and Tia Messerli at -278, which implies a 35% and 74% chance to win. The model rates Madelynn Ludwig 15 points higher than the odds do (50% vs 35%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.