Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog
Updated
Polona Hercog beat Madalena Matias 6-0, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Matias is 3-7 in their last 10, Hercog 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Polona Hercog a 99% favorite. At 0 the sportsbook implies -0% for Polona Hercog, 99 points below the model's 99%.
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model minus book: +99 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Polona Hercog at 0 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Madalena Matias | Polona Hercog | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6042 | 6784 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1936 | WTA #210 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 0-1 | 2-4 |
| Current streak | 5 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 7-13 | 36-24 |
| UTR | 9.27 | 11.64 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1542 |
| Best surface | – | Grass |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Madalena Matias and Polona Hercog haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Madalena Matias, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Laia Petretic | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 22.09.2026 | Veronika Podrez | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 06.09.2026 | Celia Cervino Ruiz | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 05.07.2026 | Zoziya Kardava | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 01.07.2026 | Han Shi | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 29.06.2026 | Ruth N Torres Milian | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 28.06.2026 | Teresa Franco Dias | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 31.05.2026 | Charlotte Keitel | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 13.05.2026 | Matilde Novais | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 27.04.2026 | Maileen Nuudi | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
Polona Hercog, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Valeriya Strakhova | L | 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Martina Capurro Taborda | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Jazmin Ortenzi | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Madalena Matias | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 06.10.2026 | Alena Kovackova | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 02.10.2026 | Lisa Pigato | L | 7-5, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Naiktha Bains | W | 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Ayana Akli | W | 6-2, 5-7, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: WTA Lisboa (Portugal), model gave Madalena Matias 1% at +931
Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog: quick answers
Who won Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog?
Polona Hercog beat Madalena Matias 6-0, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
Have Madalena Matias and Polona Hercog played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Madalena Matias or Polona Hercog?
Madalena Matias is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Losses). Polona Hercog is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Madalena Matias and Polona Hercog?
Madalena Matias is rated 6042 (WTA #1936) and Polona Hercog is rated 6784 (WTA #210). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog?
Madalena Matias is priced at +931 and Polona Hercog at 0, which implies a 10% and -0% chance to win. The model rates Polona Hercog 99 points higher than the odds do (99% vs -0%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.