Luna Maria Cinalli vs Paola Lopez
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Luna Maria Cinalli, giving them a 71% chance to win against Paola Lopez (29%). They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Cinalli is 7-3 in their last 10, Lopez 5-5. At +563, the odds imply 15% for Paola Lopez, below the model's 29%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Luna Maria Cinalli a 71% favorite. At +563 the sportsbook implies 15% for Paola Lopez, 14 points below the model's 29%.
Model minus book: -24 pts
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Paola Lopez at +563 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Luna Maria Cinalli | Paola Lopez | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6217 | 6000 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1255 | WTA #2126 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 6-2 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 27-22 | 22-24 |
| UTR | 10.63 | 9.76 |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Luna Maria Cinalli | 6-3, 6-0 | Brazil Maceio |
| 25.09.2026 | Paola Lopez | 6-4, 7-6 | Brazil Belem |
Recent form
Luna Maria Cinalli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Alice Tubello | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Ana Candiotto | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado Zimermman | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Maraia Paula Manrique | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 17.10.2026 | Ana Sofia Sanchez | L | 3-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Paola Lopez | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 13.10.2026 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado Zimermman | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Liv Zingg | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
Paola Lopez, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Emily Zornada | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Caira Delfina Vega Gudino | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Luana Plaza Araujo | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Luna Maria Cinalli | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 13.10.2026 | Ana Clara Furlan Britzki | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 27.09.2026 | Leticia Garcia Vidal | L | 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 26.09.2026 | Astra Sharma | L | 2-3 |
| 25.09.2026 | Luna Maria Cinalli | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 24.09.2026 | Sabrina Dias | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Luna Maria Cinalli | Paola Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Amelia Honer | 0-1 L 6-0, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Ana Sofia Sanchez | 0-2 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-2, L 6-3, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-0 |
| Carson Tanguilig | 0-1 L 6-1, 3-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
| Melina Maria Maruca | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Sofia Shapatava | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-0, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: WTA Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Luna Maria Cinalli 71% at -2000
- 2026-10-26: WTA Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Luna Maria Cinalli 71% at -2000
- 2026-10-25: WTA Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Luna Maria Cinalli 71% at -2000
- 2026-10-24: WTA Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Luna Maria Cinalli 71% at -2000
- 2026-10-23: WTA Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Luna Maria Cinalli 71% at -2000
- 2026-10-22: WTA Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Luna Maria Cinalli 71% at -2000
- 2026-10-21: WTA Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Luna Maria Cinalli 71% at -2000
- 2026-10-15: WTA Maceio (Brazil), model gave Paola Lopez 29% at +478
- 2026-10-14: WTA Maceio (Brazil), model gave Paola Lopez 29% at +478
Luna Maria Cinalli vs Paola Lopez: quick answers
Who will win Luna Maria Cinalli vs Paola Lopez?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Luna Maria Cinalli, giving them a 71% chance to win against Paola Lopez (29%).
What is the head-to-head record between Luna Maria Cinalli and Paola Lopez?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Luna Maria Cinalli 6-3, 6-0 at Brazil Maceio.
Who is in better form, Luna Maria Cinalli or Paola Lopez?
Luna Maria Cinalli is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Paola Lopez is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Luna Maria Cinalli and Paola Lopez?
Luna Maria Cinalli is rated 6217 (WTA #1255) and Paola Lopez is rated 6000 (WTA #2126). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Luna Maria Cinalli vs Paola Lopez?
Luna Maria Cinalli is priced at -2000 and Paola Lopez at +563, which implies a 95% and 15% chance to win. The model rates Paola Lopez 14 points higher than the odds do (29% vs 15%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.