Matej Dodig vs Lukas Neumayer
Updated
Matej Dodig beat Lukas Neumayer 6-4, 4-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Matej Dodig leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Dodig is 8-2 in their last 10, Neumayer 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Matej Dodig a 55% favorite. At +140 the sportsbook implies 42% for Lukas Neumayer, 3 points below the model's 45%.
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lukas Neumayer at +140 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matej Dodig | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6762 | 6746 |
| Tour rank | ATP #145 | ATP #158 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 6-1 | 6-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 43-24 | 48-31 |
| UTR | 14.51 | 14.62 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1615 | 1544 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Matej Dodig leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 | Portugal Maia |
| 10.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | 6-3, 6-1 | Portugal Braga |
Recent form
Matej Dodig, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Marco Cecchinato | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Joao Domingues | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Francesco Passaro | L | 5-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Tristan Boyer | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Pedro Martinez | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Marvin Moeller | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
Lukas Neumayer, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Jakub Mensik | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 25.10.2026 | Titouan Droguet | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Vit Kopriva | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | L | 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Max Alcala Gurri | W | 6-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Olle Wallin | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Florian Broska | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Luka Mikrut | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Matej Dodig | Lukas Neumayer |
|---|---|---|
| Duje Ajdukovic | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
2-0 W 6-3, 6-3, W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Elmer Moller | 1-1 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-2, L 6-4, 7-6 |
1-1 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-2, L 6-7, 6-4, 1-0 |
| Enrico Dalla Valle | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-2, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
| Giles Hussey | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
| Henri Squire | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Michele Ribecai | 1-0 W 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| Mili Poljicak | 1-1 W 6-2, 6-3, L 4-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Sumit Nagal | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Tristan Boyer | 1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Matej Dodig 55% at -200
- 2026-10-09: ATP Braga (Portugal), model gave Matej Dodig 55% at -161
Matej Dodig vs Lukas Neumayer: quick answers
Who won Matej Dodig vs Lukas Neumayer?
Matej Dodig beat Lukas Neumayer 6-4, 4-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Matej Dodig and Lukas Neumayer?
Matej Dodig leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Matej Dodig 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 at Portugal Maia.
Who is in better form, Matej Dodig or Lukas Neumayer?
Matej Dodig is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Lukas Neumayer is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matej Dodig and Lukas Neumayer?
Matej Dodig is rated 6762 (ATP #145) and Lukas Neumayer is rated 6746 (ATP #158). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matej Dodig vs Lukas Neumayer?
Matej Dodig is priced at -200 and Lukas Neumayer at +140, which implies a 67% and 42% chance to win. The model rates Lukas Neumayer 3 points higher than the odds do (45% vs 42%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.