Nikita Bilozertsev vs Luka Talan Lopatic

ATP Heraklion (XI) I (Greece), Hard. Saturday, October 17, 2026, 12:30.

Updated

Luka Talan Lopatic beat Nikita Bilozertsev 6-3, 5-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Nikita Bilozertsev at 60%. Luka Talan Lopatic leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Bilozertsev is 5-5 in their last 10, Lopatic 7-3.

Result: Luka Talan Lopatic beat Nikita Bilozertsev 6-3, 5-3. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Nikita Bilozertsev.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Nikita Bilozertsev a 60% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
60%
Book
68%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model
40%
Book
41%

Model minus book: -1 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Nikita Bilozertsev at -213 · Model track record

Player comparison

Nikita BilozertsevLuka Talan Lopatic
Tennis Gauge rating63736378
Tour rankATP #878ATP #865
Last 10 matches5-57-3
Last 30 days4-24-2
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record25-2432-23
UTR13.4213.09

Head to head

Luka Talan Lopatic leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
17.10.2026Luka Talan Lopatic6-3, 5-3Greece Heraklion

Recent form

Nikita Bilozertsev, last 10

DateOpponentScore
17.10.2026Luka Talan Lopatic L6-3, 5-3
16.10.2026Matyas Fuele W6-2, 4-0
13.10.2026Anuj Watane W6-0, 6-2
09.10.2026Amit Vales L6-3, 6-5
08.10.2026Pavlos Tsitsipas W7-6, 6-3
07.10.2026Georgios Dimitriou W6-1, 6-1
18.09.2026Marko Topo L6-7, 6-2, 10-5
17.09.2026Marko Nikolic W6-3, 6-2
08.09.2026Mate Valkusz L7-5, 6-4
05.09.2026Branko Djuric L6-1, 6-2

Luka Talan Lopatic, last 10

DateOpponentScore
23.10.2026Ioannis Xilas L6-4, 6-3
22.10.2026Ewen Lumsden W1-6, 6-2, 6-1
20.10.2026Ammar Elamin W6-1, 6-2
18.10.2026Ioannis Xilas W6-7, 6-3, 6-4
18.10.2026Amit Vales L6-2, 6-3
17.10.2026Nikita Bilozertsev W6-3, 5-3
16.10.2026Marcus Walters W6-2, 6-2
16.10.2026Marcus Walters W6-2, 6-2
13.10.2026Mathieu Scaglia W7-5, 6-1
06.10.2026Matei Florin Breazu L7-6, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentNikita BilozertsevLuka Talan Lopatic
Amit Vales 0-1
L 6-3, 6-5
0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
Davide Tortora 0-1
L 4-6, 6-3, 6-1
0-1
L 3-6, 6-1, 6-0
William Mirarchi 0-1
L 7-5, 2-4
1-0
W 6-3, 6-0

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-16: ATP Heraklion (XI) I (Greece), model gave Nikita Bilozertsev 60% at -213

Nikita Bilozertsev vs Luka Talan Lopatic: quick answers

Who won Nikita Bilozertsev vs Luka Talan Lopatic?

Luka Talan Lopatic beat Nikita Bilozertsev 6-3, 5-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Nikita Bilozertsev at 60%.

What is the head-to-head record between Nikita Bilozertsev and Luka Talan Lopatic?

Luka Talan Lopatic leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Luka Talan Lopatic 6-3, 5-3 at Greece Heraklion.

Who is in better form, Nikita Bilozertsev or Luka Talan Lopatic?

Nikita Bilozertsev is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Luka Talan Lopatic is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Nikita Bilozertsev and Luka Talan Lopatic?

Nikita Bilozertsev is rated 6373 (ATP #878) and Luka Talan Lopatic is rated 6378 (ATP #865). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Nikita Bilozertsev vs Luka Talan Lopatic?

Nikita Bilozertsev is priced at -213 and Luka Talan Lopatic at +143, which implies a 68% and 41% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.