Luka Pavlovic vs Tristan Schoolkate
Updated
Luka Pavlovic beat Tristan Schoolkate 7-5, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Tristan Schoolkate at 56%. Luka Pavlovic leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Pavlovic is 7-3 in their last 10, Schoolkate 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Tristan Schoolkate a 56% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model minus book: -6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tristan Schoolkate at -164 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Luka Pavlovic | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6606 | 6708 |
| Tour rank | ATP #345 | ATP #206 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 8-5 | 4-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 35-30 | 38-31 |
| UTR | 14.35 | 14.55 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1505 | 1577 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Luka Pavlovic leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Luka Pavlovic | 7-5, 6-4 | China Jinan |
Recent form
Luka Pavlovic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Mattia Bellucci | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Tristan Schoolkate | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Kangyuan Shi | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Thomas Fancutt | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Ilia Simakin | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Lloyd Harris | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Akira Santillan | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 27.09.2026 | Gabriel Elicha Navas | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 26.09.2026 | Marcin Andrzejczak | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Noble Renfrow | W | 6-0, 7-6 |
Tristan Schoolkate, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Jie Cui | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Masamichi Imamura | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Coleman Wong | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Jie Cui | W | 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Keegan Smith | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Sergey Fomin | W | 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Luka Pavlovic | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Dane Sweeny | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Harold Mayot | L | 6-4, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Philip Henning | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Luka Pavlovic | Tristan Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fery | 0-1 L 6-1, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Darwin Blanch | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Facundo Mena | 1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | 0-1 L 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
| Keegan Smith | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Marek Gengel | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
| Matteo Martineau | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
| Stefano Napolitano | 0-2 L 6-3, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Luka Pavlovic 44% at +128
Luka Pavlovic vs Tristan Schoolkate: quick answers
Who won Luka Pavlovic vs Tristan Schoolkate?
Luka Pavlovic beat Tristan Schoolkate 7-5, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Tristan Schoolkate at 56%.
What is the head-to-head record between Luka Pavlovic and Tristan Schoolkate?
Luka Pavlovic leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Luka Pavlovic 7-5, 6-4 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Luka Pavlovic or Tristan Schoolkate?
Luka Pavlovic is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Tristan Schoolkate is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Luka Pavlovic and Tristan Schoolkate?
Luka Pavlovic is rated 6606 (ATP #345) and Tristan Schoolkate is rated 6708 (ATP #206). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Luka Pavlovic vs Tristan Schoolkate?
Luka Pavlovic is priced at +128 and Tristan Schoolkate at -164, which implies a 44% and 62% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.