Luka Pavlovic vs Thomas Fancutt

ATP Jinan (China), Hard. Saturday, October 10, 2026, 01:00.

Updated

Luka Pavlovic beat Thomas Fancutt 7-5, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Luka Pavlovic leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Pavlovic is 7-3 in their last 10, Fancutt 3-7.

Result: Luka Pavlovic beat Thomas Fancutt 7-5, 6-3. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Luka Pavlovic a 89% favorite. At -500 the sportsbook implies 83% for Luka Pavlovic, 6 points below the model's 89%.

Model
89%
Book
83%

Model minus book: +6 pts

Model
11%
Book
31%

Model minus book: -20 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Luka Pavlovic at -500 · Model track record

Player comparison

Luka PavlovicThomas Fancutt
Tennis Gauge rating66066382
Tour rankATP #345ATP #851
Last 10 matches7-33-7
Last 30 days6-51-3
Current streak1 Loss5 Losses
Season record35-3034-19
UTR14.3513.74
Elo (52 weeks)1549–
Best surfaceGrass–
Worst surfaceClay–

Head to head

Luka Pavlovic leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
11.10.2026Luka Pavlovic7-5, 6-3China Jinan

Recent form

Luka Pavlovic, last 10

DateOpponentScore
15.10.2026Mattia Bellucci L6-4, 6-4
14.10.2026Tristan Schoolkate W7-5, 6-4
12.10.2026Kangyuan Shi W6-1, 6-1
11.10.2026Thomas Fancutt W7-5, 6-3
05.10.2026Ilia Simakin L4-6, 6-4, 6-1
01.10.2026Lloyd Harris L6-2, 6-3
29.09.2026Akira Santillan W6-2, 6-4
27.09.2026Gabriel Elicha Navas W7-6, 6-4
26.09.2026Marcin Andrzejczak W6-1, 6-4
23.09.2026Noble Renfrow W6-0, 7-6

Thomas Fancutt, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Woobin Shin L6-0, 6-7, 6-3
11.10.2026Luka Pavlovic L7-5, 6-3
28.09.2026Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong L6-4, 6-4
15.09.2026Marat Sharipov L6-2, 6-3
14.09.2026James Trotter L6-3, 6-2
13.09.2026Zijiang Yang W6-4, 7-6
06.09.2026Maxime Janvier L5-1
26.08.2026Luis Guto Miguel L6-2, 6-3
25.08.2026Karl Poling W6-4, 6-3
24.08.2026Bruno Kuzuhara W6-4, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Luka Pavlovic vs Thomas Fancutt: quick answers

Who won Luka Pavlovic vs Thomas Fancutt?

Luka Pavlovic beat Thomas Fancutt 7-5, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Luka Pavlovic and Thomas Fancutt?

Luka Pavlovic leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Luka Pavlovic 7-5, 6-3 at China Jinan.

Who is in better form, Luka Pavlovic or Thomas Fancutt?

Luka Pavlovic is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Thomas Fancutt is 3-7 (current streak: 5 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Luka Pavlovic and Thomas Fancutt?

Luka Pavlovic is rated 6606 (ATP #345) and Thomas Fancutt is rated 6382 (ATP #851). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Luka Pavlovic vs Thomas Fancutt?

Luka Pavlovic is priced at -500 and Thomas Fancutt at +225, which implies a 83% and 31% chance to win. The model rates Luka Pavlovic 6 points higher than the odds do (89% vs 83%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.