Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal

ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), Indoors. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 04:10.

Updated

Luka Mikrut beat Sumit Nagal 6-4, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Luka Mikrut leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mikrut is 7-3 in their last 10, Nagal 4-6.

Result: Luka Mikrut beat Sumit Nagal 6-4, 6-2. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Luka Mikrut a 65% favorite. At +311 the sportsbook implies 24% for Sumit Nagal, 11 points below the model's 35%.

Model
65%
Book
79%

Model minus book: -15 pts

Model
35%
Book
24%

Model minus book: +11 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sumit Nagal at +311 · Model track record

Player comparison

Luka MikrutSumit Nagal
Tennis Gauge rating67266670
Tour rankATP #181ATP #255
Last 10 matches7-34-6
Last 30 days10-22-3
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record20-1329-33
UTR14.7414.39
Elo (52 weeks)16741506
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceHardGrass

Head to head

Luka Mikrut leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Luka Mikrut6-4, 6-2Portugal Maia

Recent form

Luka Mikrut, last 10

DateOpponentScore
16.10.2026Alejo Sanchez Quilez L6-1, 6-4
16.10.2026Alejo Sanchez Quilez L6-1, 6-4
14.10.2026Sumit Nagal W6-4, 6-2
13.10.2026Tiago Pereira W6-0, 6-3
09.10.2026Vilius Gaubas L6-2, 6-4
08.10.2026Oleksii Krutykh W6-7, 6-4, 6-4
27.09.2026Carlo Alberto Caniato W6-4, 7-5
26.09.2026Marvin Moeller W6-3, 3-6, 7-6
25.09.2026Lukas Neumayer W6-3, 6-4
23.09.2026Kimmer Coppejans W6-1, 6-1

Sumit Nagal, last 10

DateOpponentScore
23.10.2026Alexander Ritschard L7-5, 6-2
22.10.2026Benjamin Hassan W7-6, 2-0
20.10.2026Alejo Sanchez Quilez W6-4, 6-2
14.10.2026Luka Mikrut L6-4, 6-2
12.10.2026Henrique Rocha W3-6, 7-5, 7-6
01.10.2026Yibing Wu L6-4, 6-4
30.09.2026Sergey Fomin W6-3, 6-2
19.09.2026Soon Woo Kwon L6-1, 6-2
18.09.2026Hyeon Chung L2-6, 6-4, 7-5
25.08.2026Arthur Gea L6-3, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentLuka MikrutSumit Nagal
Alejo Sanchez Quilez 0-2
L 6-1, 6-4, L 6-1, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
Diego Dedura Palomero 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 6-7, 6-3, 6-3
Lukas Neumayer 1-1
W 6-3, 6-4, L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3
0-1
L 3-6, 6-3, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Luka Mikrut 65% at -385

Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal: quick answers

Who won Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal?

Luka Mikrut beat Sumit Nagal 6-4, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Luka Mikrut and Sumit Nagal?

Luka Mikrut leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Luka Mikrut 6-4, 6-2 at Portugal Maia.

Who is in better form, Luka Mikrut or Sumit Nagal?

Luka Mikrut is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Sumit Nagal is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Luka Mikrut and Sumit Nagal?

Luka Mikrut is rated 6726 (ATP #181) and Sumit Nagal is rated 6670 (ATP #255). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal?

Luka Mikrut is priced at -385 and Sumit Nagal at +311, which implies a 79% and 24% chance to win. The model rates Sumit Nagal 11 points higher than the odds do (35% vs 24%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.