Sander Jong vs Lui Maxted

ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 02:30.

Updated

Sander Jong beat Lui Maxted 7-6, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Sander Jong leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Jong is 7-3 in their last 10, Maxted 6-4.

Result: Sander Jong beat Lui Maxted 7-6, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Sander Jong a 51% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
51%
Book
51%

Model minus book: 0 pts

Lui Maxted -132
Model
49%
Book
57%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sander Jong at -105 · Model track record

Player comparison

Sander JongLui Maxted
Tennis Gauge rating65516531
Tour rankATP #420ATP #468
Last 10 matches7-36-4
Last 30 days9-26-3
Current streak2 Losses2 Wins
Season record44-2239-24
UTR13.9813.87
Elo (52 weeks)–1333
Best surface–Grass
Worst surface–Clay

Head to head

Sander Jong leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
21.10.2026Sander Jong7-6, 6-4USA Fort Worth

Recent form

Sander Jong, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Asahi Harazaki L4-3
24.10.2026Darwin Blanch L7-6, 6-2
23.10.2026Aidan Mayo W7-6, 0-6, 7-6
22.10.2026J J Wolf W4-6, 6-3, 7-6
21.10.2026Lui Maxted W7-6, 6-4
19.10.2026Kenta Miyoshi W4-6, 7-6, 7-5
18.10.2026Keegan Rice W3-6, 7-6, 6-2
03.10.2026Alejandro Moro Canas L4-6, 6-4, 6-4
02.10.2026Lorenzo Carboni W6-3, 6-1
01.10.2026Michiel De Krom W3-6, 6-3, 6-3

Lui Maxted, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Ilya Snitari W7-6, 4-6, 6-3
27.10.2026Pablo Martinez Gomez W6-4, 6-4
21.10.2026Sander Jong L7-6, 6-4
17.10.2026Cosme Rolland De Ravel L6-4, 6-7, 6-2
16.10.2026Andrew Fenty W2-6, 6-2, 6-2
15.10.2026Roger Pascual Ferra W6-0, 6-1
14.10.2026Aidan Kim W6-3, 6-2
28.09.2026Luca Potenza L6-2, 4-2
27.09.2026Francisco Rocha W4-6, 6-3, 6-1
25.09.2026Inaki Montes De La Torre L3-6, 7-6, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSander JongLui Maxted
Anton Matusevich 1-1
W 6-3, 6-4, L 7-5, 7-6
1-1
L 6-3, 7-6, W 7-6, 7-6
Marko Miladinovic 1-0
W 7-5, 6-1
1-0
W 6-7, 6-2, 6-2
Matteo Martineau 1-0
W 3-6, 7-6, 7-6
1-0
W 7-5, 7-6

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-20: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Sander Jong 51% at -105

Sander Jong vs Lui Maxted: quick answers

Who won Sander Jong vs Lui Maxted?

Sander Jong beat Lui Maxted 7-6, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Sander Jong and Lui Maxted?

Sander Jong leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Sander Jong 7-6, 6-4 at USA Fort Worth.

Who is in better form, Sander Jong or Lui Maxted?

Sander Jong is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Lui Maxted is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Sander Jong and Lui Maxted?

Sander Jong is rated 6551 (ATP #420) and Lui Maxted is rated 6531 (ATP #468). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Sander Jong vs Lui Maxted?

Sander Jong is priced at -105 and Lui Maxted at -132, which implies a 51% and 57% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.