Lucrezia Stefanini vs Polina Iatcenko

WTA Samsun (Turkey), Hard. Thursday, October 8, 2026, 04:00.

Updated

Lucrezia Stefanini beat Polina Iatcenko 6-3, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Lucrezia Stefanini leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Stefanini is 7-3 in their last 10, Iatcenko 5-5.

Result: Lucrezia Stefanini beat Polina Iatcenko 6-3, 7-5. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Lucrezia Stefanini a 64% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
64%
Book
61%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model
36%
Book
46%

Model minus book: -10 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lucrezia Stefanini at -159 · Model track record

Player comparison

Lucrezia StefaniniPolina Iatcenko
Tennis Gauge rating68926819
Tour rankWTA #123WTA #183
Last 10 matches7-35-5
Last 30 days4-25-2
Current streak1 Win1 Loss
Season record38-2732-24
UTR12.1411.85
Elo (52 weeks)16881661
Best surfaceHardGrass
Worst surfaceClayClay

Head to head

Lucrezia Stefanini leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
09.10.2026Lucrezia Stefanini6-3, 7-5Turkey Samsun

Recent form

Lucrezia Stefanini, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Isabella Maria Serban W6-3, 6-2
16.10.2026Bianca Andreescu L6-2, 7-5
14.10.2026Harmony Tan W6-2, 6-3
13.10.2026Laura Mair W3-6, 6-2, 7-5
11.10.2026Ayla Aksu L7-5, 2-6, 6-2
10.10.2026Anna Blinkova W6-2, 6-3
09.10.2026Polina Iatcenko W6-3, 7-5
07.10.2026Noma Noha Akugue W6-2, 6-3
06.10.2026Carole Monnet W7-5, 6-4
02.10.2026Leolia Jeanjean L6-4, 1-6, 6-1

Polina Iatcenko, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Alevtina Ibragimova L6-3, 6-3
24.10.2026Alexandra Shubladze W6-3, 2-6, 6-4
12.10.2026Harmony Tan L2-6, 6-4, 6-0
09.10.2026Lucrezia Stefanini L6-3, 7-5
07.10.2026Dalma Galfi W6-4, 7-6
05.10.2026Suzan Lamens W6-3, 6-1
29.09.2026Erika Andreeva L6-3, 6-2
26.09.2026Teodora Kostovic L7-5, 7-5
25.09.2026Ksenia Zaytseva W6-3, 6-2
23.09.2026Weronika Falkowska W6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentLucrezia StefaniniPolina Iatcenko
Carole Monnet 1-0
W 7-5, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 4-6, 7-6
Harmony Tan 1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
0-1
L 2-6, 6-4, 6-0
Julieta Pareja 1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
Lucia Bronzetti 0-1
L 6-4, 6-1
1-0
W 6-2, 3-6, 6-3

Lucrezia Stefanini vs Polina Iatcenko: quick answers

Who won Lucrezia Stefanini vs Polina Iatcenko?

Lucrezia Stefanini beat Polina Iatcenko 6-3, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Lucrezia Stefanini and Polina Iatcenko?

Lucrezia Stefanini leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Lucrezia Stefanini 6-3, 7-5 at Turkey Samsun.

Who is in better form, Lucrezia Stefanini or Polina Iatcenko?

Lucrezia Stefanini is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Polina Iatcenko is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Lucrezia Stefanini and Polina Iatcenko?

Lucrezia Stefanini is rated 6892 (WTA #123) and Polina Iatcenko is rated 6819 (WTA #183). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Lucrezia Stefanini vs Polina Iatcenko?

Lucrezia Stefanini is priced at -159 and Polina Iatcenko at +119, which implies a 61% and 46% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.