Patrick Maloney vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Patrick Maloney, giving them a 58% chance to win against Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi (42%). Patrick Maloney leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Maloney is 4-6 in their last 10, Ambrogi 5-5. At +237, the odds imply 30% for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi, below the model's 42%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Patrick Maloney a 58% favorite. At +237 the sportsbook implies 30% for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi, 12 points below the model's 42%.
Model minus book: -21 pts
Model minus book: +12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi at +237 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Patrick Maloney | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6579 | 6460 |
| Tour rank | ATP #385 | ATP #620 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 9-9 | 43-28 |
| UTR | 14.2 | 13.87 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1358 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Patrick Maloney leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Patrick Maloney | 6-3, 7-5 | USA Fort Worth |
Recent form
Patrick Maloney, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Jenson Brooksby | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Kenta Miyoshi | W | 6-0, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 29.09.2026 | Darwin Blanch | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 21.09.2026 | Braden Shick | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 16.09.2026 | Michael Mmoh | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 14.09.2026 | Alastair Gray | W | 6-3, 5-7, 7-6 |
| 11.08.2026 | Bryce Nakashima | L | 5-2 |
| 07.08.2026 | Evan Zhu | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Sean Daryabeigi | L | 3-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 19.10.2026 | Patrick Maloney | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 14.10.2026 | Iker Urribarrens Ramirez | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Asahi Harazaki | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 10.10.2026 | Marko Milosavljevic | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Haydar Cem Gokpinar | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Christian Trevey | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Otso Martikainen | W | 6-1, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 14.09.2026 | J J Wolf | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 17.08.2026 | Oleksii Krutykh | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 42% at +242
- 2026-10-18: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 42% at +242
Patrick Maloney vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi: quick answers
Who will win Patrick Maloney vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Patrick Maloney, giving them a 58% chance to win against Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi (42%).
What is the head-to-head record between Patrick Maloney and Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi?
Patrick Maloney leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Patrick Maloney 6-3, 7-5 at USA Fort Worth.
Who is in better form, Patrick Maloney or Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi?
Patrick Maloney is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi is 5-5 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Patrick Maloney and Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi?
Patrick Maloney is rated 6579 (ATP #385) and Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi is rated 6460 (ATP #620). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Patrick Maloney vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi?
Patrick Maloney is priced at -385 and Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi at +237, which implies a 79% and 30% chance to win. The model rates Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 12 points higher than the odds do (42% vs 30%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.