Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

ATP Shangai - Masters (China), Hard. Friday, October 9, 2026, 02:20.

Updated

Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Luciano Darderi 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Darderi is 5-5 in their last 10, Tsitsipas 7-3.

Result: Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Luciano Darderi 6-3, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas a 63% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
37%
Book
34%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model
63%
Book
70%

Model minus book: -7 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Stefanos Tsitsipas at -233 · Model track record

Player comparison

Luciano DarderiStefanos Tsitsipas
Tennis Gauge rating69096910
Tour rankATP #36ATP #34
Last 10 matches5-57-3
Last 30 days1-16-1
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record37-2742-24
UTR15.8215.91
Elo (52 weeks)18301876
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceGrassGrass

Head to head

Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
10.10.2026Stefanos Tsitsipas6-3, 6-4China Shangai - Masters

Recent form

Luciano Darderi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Tommy Paul L6-1, 6-1
26.10.2026Matteo Arnaldi W7-5, 6-2
21.10.2026James Duckworth L7-5, 7-6
10.10.2026Stefanos Tsitsipas L6-3, 6-4
02.10.2026Kyrian Jacquet L6-3, 7-6
01.10.2026Casper Ruud W7-6, 6-3
08.09.2026Alexander Zverev L6-2, 6-2, 7-6
05.09.2026Dane Sweeny W6-4, 6-3, 6-3
03.09.2026Dalibor Svrcina W6-3, 6-7, 6-4, 6-4
31.08.2026Harry Wendelken W6-2, 3-6, 6-2, 7-5

Stefanos Tsitsipas, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Nikoloz Basilashvili L6-4, 6-7, 6-3
23.10.2026James Duckworth W6-3, 6-4
21.10.2026Mikhail Kukushkin W6-1, 6-2
20.10.2026Aleksandar Kovacevic W7-6, 3-6, 6-3
14.10.2026Daniil Medvedev L6-4, 7-5
12.10.2026Taylor Fritz W3-6, 7-5, 6-3
10.10.2026Luciano Darderi W6-3, 6-4
08.10.2026Kimmer Coppejans W6-3, 7-5
02.10.2026Valentin Vacherot L4-6, 7-6, 6-4
01.10.2026Tomas Martin Etcheverry W4-6, 6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentLuciano DarderiStefanos Tsitsipas
Alex De Minaur 0-1
L 6-0, 6-3
1-1
L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, W 6-3, 7-6
Andrey Rublev 0-1
L 6-4, 6-3
0-2
L 17-15, 16-14, 23-13, L 6-3, 7-6
Botic Van De Zandschulp 0-1
L 6-1, 6-0
0-1
L 6-4, 7-6
Casper Ruud 1-1
W 7-6, 6-3, L 6-1, 6-1
0-1
L 6-7, 7-6, 7-6
Francisco Cerundolo 0-2
L 6-2, 6-3, L 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 7-5, 6-4
James Duckworth 0-1
L 7-5, 7-6
1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
Matteo Arnaldi 1-0
W 7-5, 6-2
0-1
L 7-6, 5-7, 6-3, 6-2
Rinky Hijikata 0-2
L 6-4, 6-2, L 4-6, 6-2, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
Tomas Martin Etcheverry 0-1
L 6-3, 3-6, 1-0
1-0
W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4

Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas: quick answers

Who won Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas?

Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Luciano Darderi 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Luciano Darderi and Stefanos Tsitsipas?

Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 10, 2026, won by Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-3, 6-4 at China Shangai - Masters.

Who is in better form, Luciano Darderi or Stefanos Tsitsipas?

Luciano Darderi is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Stefanos Tsitsipas is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Luciano Darderi and Stefanos Tsitsipas?

Luciano Darderi is rated 6909 (ATP #36) and Stefanos Tsitsipas is rated 6910 (ATP #34). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas?

Luciano Darderi is priced at +195 and Stefanos Tsitsipas at -233, which implies a 34% and 70% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.