Theresa Stabauer vs Lucia Natal Gomez
Updated
Lucia Natal Gomez beat Theresa Stabauer 6-2, 1-6, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Lucia Natal Gomez leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Stabauer is 5-5 in their last 10, Gomez 2-8.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Lucia Natal Gomez a 68% favorite. At +425 the sportsbook implies 19% for Theresa Stabauer, 13 points below the model's 32%.
Model minus book: +13 pts
Model minus book: -23 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Theresa Stabauer at +425 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Theresa Stabauer | Lucia Natal Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5986 | 5989 |
| Tour rank | WTA #2190 | WTA #2179 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 7-9 | 16-20 |
| UTR | 9.1 | 10.27 |
Head to head
Lucia Natal Gomez leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Lucia Natal Gomez | 6-2, 1-6, 6-1 | Croatia Bol |
Recent form
Theresa Stabauer, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Alessia Antici | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Marta Dobric | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Lucia Natal Gomez | L | 6-2, 1-6, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Mariia Drobysheva | W | 6-0, 6-7, 10-8 |
| 12.10.2026 | Jessica Laura Pabisiak | W | 6-7, 6-3, 10-6 |
| 05.10.2026 | Alexandra Biot | L | 6-3, 4-6, 10-7 |
| 09.09.2026 | Kristina Belkova | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 02.09.2026 | Johanna Silva | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 01.09.2026 | Ai Maruyama | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 31.08.2026 | Tasnim Ismail | W | 5-1 |
Lucia Natal Gomez, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Sara Mikaca | L | 2-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Eliska Tichackova | L | 6-0, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Theresa Stabauer | W | 6-2, 1-6, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Parker Debnam | L | 4-6, 7-5, 1-0 |
| 10.10.2026 | Medha Chandana | L | 5-7, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 26.09.2026 | Francesca Davis | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 25.09.2026 | Peyton Amspacher Philemon Amspacher Philemon | L | 4-0, 2-4 |
| 02.09.2026 | Ashley Lahey | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 23.07.2026 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 22.07.2026 | Anais Gabriel | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: WTA Bol (X) (Croatia), model gave Theresa Stabauer 32% at +425
Theresa Stabauer vs Lucia Natal Gomez: quick answers
Who won Theresa Stabauer vs Lucia Natal Gomez?
Lucia Natal Gomez beat Theresa Stabauer 6-2, 1-6, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Theresa Stabauer and Lucia Natal Gomez?
Lucia Natal Gomez leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Lucia Natal Gomez 6-2, 1-6, 6-1 at Croatia Bol.
Who is in better form, Theresa Stabauer or Lucia Natal Gomez?
Theresa Stabauer is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Lucia Natal Gomez is 2-8 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Theresa Stabauer and Lucia Natal Gomez?
Theresa Stabauer is rated 5986 (WTA #2190) and Lucia Natal Gomez is rated 5989 (WTA #2179). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Theresa Stabauer vs Lucia Natal Gomez?
Theresa Stabauer is priced at +425 and Lucia Natal Gomez at -1000, which implies a 19% and 91% chance to win. The model rates Theresa Stabauer 13 points higher than the odds do (32% vs 19%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.