Natsuho Arakawa vs Lucia Gale
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Natsuho Arakawa, giving them a 64% chance to win against Lucia Gale (36%). They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Arakawa is 3-7 in their last 10, Gale 5-5. At +274, the odds imply 27% for Lucia Gale, below the model's 36%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Natsuho Arakawa a 64% favorite. At +274 the sportsbook implies 27% for Lucia Gale, 10 points below the model's 36%.
Model minus book: -20 pts
Model minus book: +10 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lucia Gale at +274 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Natsuho Arakawa | Lucia Gale | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6156 | 6031 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1456 | WTA #1987 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 30-34 | 27-21 |
| UTR | 10.29 | 9.4 |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Lucia Gale | 6-2, 6-3 | Australia Sydney |
| 20.10.2026 | Natsuho Arakawa | 6-1, 6-4 | Australia Sydney |
Recent form
Natsuho Arakawa, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Lucia Gale | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Eva Lozitskaya | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Naiktha Bains | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Lucia Gale | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 04.10.2026 | Jasmine Adams | L | 2-6, 6-3, 10-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Nagi Hanatani | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 21.09.2026 | Rira Kosaka | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 15.09.2026 | Remika Ohashi | L | 4-6, 6-3, 10-8 |
| 13.09.2026 | Karen Tsutsumi | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 02.09.2026 | Clarissa Blomqvist | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
Lucia Gale, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Vaidehi Chaudhari | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Olga Danilova | W | 7-6, 3-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Natsuho Arakawa | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Jasmine Adams | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Natsuho Arakawa | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Sara Mickoska | L | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 29.09.2026 | Naomi McKenzie | L | 6-4, 2-6, 10-4 |
| 27.09.2026 | Joellah Wan | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 27.08.2026 | Belle Thompson | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 26.08.2026 | Bridget Mihulka | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Natsuho Arakawa | Lucia Gale |
|---|---|---|
| Belle Thompson | 1-1 W 3-6, 7-6, 6-3, L 6-7, 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Christina Dodaj | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-4 |
| Jasmine Adams | 0-2 L 2-6, 6-3, 10-4, L 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Kokoro Ishikawa | 1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
Natsuho Arakawa vs Lucia Gale: quick answers
Who will win Natsuho Arakawa vs Lucia Gale?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Natsuho Arakawa, giving them a 64% chance to win against Lucia Gale (36%).
What is the head-to-head record between Natsuho Arakawa and Lucia Gale?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 27, 2026, won by Lucia Gale 6-2, 6-3 at Australia Sydney.
Who is in better form, Natsuho Arakawa or Lucia Gale?
Natsuho Arakawa is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Lucia Gale is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Natsuho Arakawa and Lucia Gale?
Natsuho Arakawa is rated 6156 (WTA #1456) and Lucia Gale is rated 6031 (WTA #1987). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Natsuho Arakawa vs Lucia Gale?
Natsuho Arakawa is priced at -500 and Lucia Gale at +274, which implies a 83% and 27% chance to win. The model rates Lucia Gale 10 points higher than the odds do (36% vs 27%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.