Mona Barthel vs Lucia Bronzetti
Updated
Lucia Bronzetti beat Mona Barthel 3-6, 6-1, 6-0, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Mona Barthel at 55%. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Barthel is 6-4 in their last 10, Bronzetti 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mona Barthel a 55% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -4 pts
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mona Barthel at -149 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mona Barthel | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6779 | 6831 |
| Tour rank | WTA #216 | WTA #172 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 43-29 | 35-32 |
| UTR | 11.81 | 11.77 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1545 | 1628 |
| Best surface | Hard | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Hard |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Lucia Bronzetti | 3-6, 6-1, 6-0 | Italy Rovereto |
| 20.11.2025 | Mona Barthel | 6-3, 6-3 | Luxembourg Petange |
Recent form
Mona Barthel, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Laura Hietaranta | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 27.10.2026 | Lois Newberry | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Rebecca Sramkova | L | 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Lucia Bronzetti | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-0 |
| 20.09.2026 | Samira De Stefano | L | 3-6, 6-1, 7-5 |
| 19.09.2026 | Noemi Basiletti | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 18.09.2026 | Mia Ristic | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 16.09.2026 | Francesca Jones | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 15.09.2026 | Radka Zelnickova | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 08.09.2026 | Fiona Ferro | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
Lucia Bronzetti, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Luisina Giovannini | L | 7-6, 1-6, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Jil Teichmann | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 12.10.2026 | Mona Barthel | W | 3-6, 6-1, 6-0 |
| 05.10.2026 | Fiona Crawley | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Lois Boisson | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 07.9.2026 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 26.08.2026 | Polina Iatcenko | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 24.08.2026 | Luisina Giovannini | W | 5-0 |
| 01.08.2026 | Laura Samson | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 31.07.2026 | Sara Sorribes Tormo | W | 6-3, 2-6, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mona Barthel | Lucia Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 1-0 W 7-5, 3-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-1 |
| Celine Naef | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 4-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
| Fiona Ferro | 0-2 L 6-3, 6-4, L 6-4, 1-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Francesca Jones | 1-1 W 6-0, 6-4, L 7-6, 1-6, 6-2 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-1, L 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Justina Mikulskyte | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Laura Samson | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
1-1 L 7-5, 6-4, W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Xinyu Gao | 1-0 W 6-0, 7-6 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: WTA Rovereto (Italy), model gave Mona Barthel 55% at -149
Mona Barthel vs Lucia Bronzetti: quick answers
Who won Mona Barthel vs Lucia Bronzetti?
Lucia Bronzetti beat Mona Barthel 3-6, 6-1, 6-0, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Mona Barthel at 55%.
What is the head-to-head record between Mona Barthel and Lucia Bronzetti?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Lucia Bronzetti 3-6, 6-1, 6-0 at Italy Rovereto.
Who is in better form, Mona Barthel or Lucia Bronzetti?
Mona Barthel is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Lucia Bronzetti is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mona Barthel and Lucia Bronzetti?
Mona Barthel is rated 6779 (WTA #216) and Lucia Bronzetti is rated 6831 (WTA #172). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mona Barthel vs Lucia Bronzetti?
Mona Barthel is priced at -149 and Lucia Bronzetti at +123, which implies a 60% and 45% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.