Lucca Liu vs Ryan Colby
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Ryan Colby, giving them a 63% chance to win against Lucca Liu (37%). Ryan Colby leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Liu is 6-4 in their last 10, Colby 3-7. At -143, the odds imply 59% for Ryan Colby, below the model's 63%.
Prediction
The model makes Ryan Colby a 63% favorite. At -143 the sportsbook implies 59% for Ryan Colby, 4 points below the model's 63%.
Model minus book: -13 pts
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ryan Colby at -143 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Lucca Liu | Ryan Colby | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6286 | 6384 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1210 | ATP #841 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 3-7 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Win | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 26-15 | 27-24 |
| UTR | 13.51 | 13.49 |
Head to head
Ryan Colby leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.05.2026 | Ryan Colby | 7-5, 6-3 | USA Pensacola |
Recent form
Lucca Liu, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Stefan Cooper | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Tuncay Duran | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 05.10.2026 | Sebastian Heinrich | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Leander Tauber | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 29.09.2026 | Tuncay Duran | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 21.09.2026 | Paul Colin | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | Scott Ekindi | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 17.09.2026 | Ergi Kirkin | L | 7-6, 1-0 |
| 16.09.2026 | Mathieu Scaglia | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 14.09.2026 | Tim Loosen | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
Ryan Colby, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.09.2026 | Shunsuke Mitsui | L | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 16.09.2026 | Vasco Leote Prata | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 10.09.2026 | Finn Murgett | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 09.09.2026 | Joao Mendes | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 27.08.2026 | Jakub Vrba | L | 4-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| 25.08.2026 | Nikola Djosic | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 03.08.2026 | Spencer Johnson | L | 6-1, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 02.08.2026 | Dhakshineswar Suresh | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 15.07.2026 | Alexander Frusina | L | 6-2, 1-1 |
| 09.07.2026 | Mikael Arseneault | L | 5-7, 7-5, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Lucca Liu | Ryan Colby |
|---|---|---|
| Bruno Kuzuhara | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
| William Grant | 1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Lucca Liu 37% at +100
- 2026-10-31: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Lucca Liu 37% at +100
- 2026-10-30: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Lucca Liu 37% at +100
- 2026-10-29: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Lucca Liu 37% at +100
Lucca Liu vs Ryan Colby: quick answers
Who will win Lucca Liu vs Ryan Colby?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Ryan Colby, giving them a 63% chance to win against Lucca Liu (37%).
What is the head-to-head record between Lucca Liu and Ryan Colby?
Ryan Colby leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on May 15, 2026, won by Ryan Colby 7-5, 6-3 at USA Pensacola.
Who is in better form, Lucca Liu or Ryan Colby?
Lucca Liu is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Ryan Colby is 3-7 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Lucca Liu and Ryan Colby?
Lucca Liu is rated 6286 (ATP #1210) and Ryan Colby is rated 6384 (ATP #841). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Lucca Liu vs Ryan Colby?
Lucca Liu is priced at +100 and Ryan Colby at -143, which implies a 50% and 59% chance to win. The model rates Ryan Colby 4 points higher than the odds do (63% vs 59%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.