Lucas Andrade Da Silva vs Matteo Covato

ATP Quito (IX) (Ecuador), Clay. Friday, October 9, 2026, 10:00.

Updated

Lucas Andrade Da Silva beat Matteo Covato 6-4, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Lucas Andrade Da Silva leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Silva is 10-0 in their last 10, Covato 5-5.

Result: Lucas Andrade Da Silva beat Matteo Covato 6-4, 6-2. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Lucas Andrade Da Silva a 89% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
89%
Book
95%

Model minus book: -6 pts

Model
11%
Book
13%

Model minus book: -2 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lucas Andrade Da Silva at -2000 · Model track record

Player comparison

Lucas Andrade Da SilvaMatteo Covato
Tennis Gauge rating64476206
Tour rankATP #645ATP #1567
Last 10 matches10-05-5
Last 30 days3-04-2
Current streak10 Wins3 Losses
Season record27-817-34
UTR14.0512.29

Head to head

Lucas Andrade Da Silva leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
10.10.2026Lucas Andrade Da Silva6-4, 6-2Ecuador Quito

Recent form

Lucas Andrade Da Silva, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Juan Sebastian Osorio W6-4, 7-5
17.10.2026Mwendwa Mbithi W6-4, 6-2
16.10.2026Juan Sebastian Gomez W7-6, 7-5
15.10.2026Tadeo Meneo W7-6, 6-0
14.10.2026Victor Bini W6-4, 7-6
11.10.2026Tristan Mccormick W6-4, 6-3
10.10.2026Matteo Covato W6-4, 6-2
09.10.2026Daniel Salazar W6-4, 6-2
08.10.2026Mauricio Echazu W6-4, 3-6, 7-5
07.10.2026Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi W6-4, 6-2

Matteo Covato, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Maxwell Benson L6-7, 7-6, 0-1
18.10.2026Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano L7-5, 6-4
15.10.2026Ivan Dreycopp L7-6, 6-7, 7-6
14.10.2026Emilio Camacho W6-4, 6-3
10.10.2026Lucas Andrade Da Silva L6-4, 6-2
09.10.2026Felipe De Dios W6-1, 6-4
08.10.2026Mwendwa Mbithi W6-4, 6-4
06.10.2026Dakotah Bobo W6-4, 6-4
24.09.2026Stefan Seifert L6-0, 6-3
22.09.2026Victor Barrere W6-4, 4-6, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentLucas Andrade Da SilvaMatteo Covato
Daniel Salazar 1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
1-0
W 6-1, 6-7, 7-6
Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 6-1, 6-1
Mwendwa Mbithi 1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
1-0
W 6-4, 6-4

Lucas Andrade Da Silva vs Matteo Covato: quick answers

Who won Lucas Andrade Da Silva vs Matteo Covato?

Lucas Andrade Da Silva beat Matteo Covato 6-4, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Lucas Andrade Da Silva and Matteo Covato?

Lucas Andrade Da Silva leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 10, 2026, won by Lucas Andrade Da Silva 6-4, 6-2 at Ecuador Quito.

Who is in better form, Lucas Andrade Da Silva or Matteo Covato?

Lucas Andrade Da Silva is 10-0 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 10 Wins). Matteo Covato is 5-5 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Lucas Andrade Da Silva and Matteo Covato?

Lucas Andrade Da Silva is rated 6447 (ATP #645) and Matteo Covato is rated 6206 (ATP #1567). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Lucas Andrade Da Silva vs Matteo Covato?

Lucas Andrade Da Silva is priced at -2000 and Matteo Covato at +668, which implies a 95% and 13% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.