Valentin Vacherot vs Luca Van Assche

ATP Lyon (X) (France), Indoors. Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 05:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Valentin Vacherot, giving them a 64% chance to win against Luca Van Assche (36%). Luca Van Assche leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Vacherot is 6-4 in their last 10, Assche 4-6.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Valentin Vacherot a 64% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
64%
Book
62%

Model minus book: +2 pts

Model
36%
Book
43%

Model minus book: -7 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Valentin Vacherot at -164 · Model track record

Player comparison

Valentin VacherotLuca Van Assche
Tennis Gauge rating69046872
Tour rankATP #39ATP #59
Last 10 matches6-44-6
Last 30 days4-21-2
Current streak2 Wins2 Losses
Season record28-1949-27
UTR15.9415.5
Elo (52 weeks)18771756
Best surfaceHardClay
Worst surfaceGrassGrass

Head to head

Luca Van Assche leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
22.10.2026Luca Van Assche2-6, 6-4, 6-4France Lyon

Recent form

Valentin Vacherot, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Rafael Jodar W7-6, 2-6, 7-6
26.10.2026Mariano Navone W6-3, 7-6
22.10.2026Luca Van Assche L2-6, 6-4, 6-4
12.10.2026Tommy Paul L6-4, 6-2
10.10.2026Sebastian Baez W6-4, 7-6
05.10.2026Jiri Lehecka L6-4, 6-2
04.10.2026Arthur Fils W7-5, 4-6, 6-4
02.10.2026Stefanos Tsitsipas W4-6, 7-6, 6-4
30.09.2026Alexander Blockx W7-6, 7-6
26.09.2026Lloyd Harris L6-4, 7-6

Luca Van Assche, last 10

DateOpponentScore
26.10.2026Learner Tien L6-3, 6-1
23.10.2026Lorenzo Musetti L7-6, 6-7, 6-4
22.10.2026Valentin Vacherot W2-6, 6-4, 6-4
20.10.2026Clement Tabur W7-6, 6-3
08.10.2026Bu Yunchaokete L7-6, 6-3
30.09.2026Arthur Fils L6-3, 6-2
02.09.2026Denis Shapovalov L6-0, 6-4, 7-6
30.08.2026Cameron Norrie W6-7, 6-2, 6-2, 6-3
25.08.2026Aleksandar Kovacevic L6-1, 7-6
23.08.2026Stefanos Sakellaridis W6-1, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentValentin VacherotLuca Van Assche
Aleksandar Kovacevic 1-0
W 6-2, 6-3, 7-5
0-1
L 6-1, 7-6
Alexander Blockx 1-0
W 7-6, 7-6
2-0
W 6-4, 4-6, 7-5, W 6-2, 6-4
Alexander Shevchenko 1-0
W 6-0, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
Andrey Rublev 0-1
L 2-6, 7-6, 10-7
1-0
W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4
Arthur Fils 1-1
W 7-5, 4-6, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-7, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
Brandon Nakashima 0-1
L 2-6, 6-2, 6-3
0-1
L 6-7, 6-4, 5-7, 6-1, 6-3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1-0
W 5-7, 6-2, 6-1
0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
Lorenzo Musetti 1-0
W 7-6, 7-5
0-1
L 7-6, 6-7, 6-4
Rafael Jodar 1-0
W 7-6, 2-6, 7-6
0-1
L 6-3, 0-6, 6-1
Raphael Collignon 0-1
L 7-6, 4-6, 7-5
0-3
L 6-4, 6-0, L 7-5, 6-4, L 6-2, 6-4
Yannick Hanfmann 1-0
W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4
0-2
L 6-2, 6-4, L 6-1, 5-7, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-27: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Valentin Vacherot 64% at -164
  • 2026-10-26: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Valentin Vacherot 64% at -164
  • 2026-10-25: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Valentin Vacherot 64% at -164
  • 2026-10-24: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Valentin Vacherot 64% at -164
  • 2026-10-23: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Valentin Vacherot 64% at -164
  • 2026-10-22: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Valentin Vacherot 64% at -164
  • 2026-10-21: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Valentin Vacherot 64% at -164

Valentin Vacherot vs Luca Van Assche: quick answers

Who will win Valentin Vacherot vs Luca Van Assche?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Valentin Vacherot, giving them a 64% chance to win against Luca Van Assche (36%).

What is the head-to-head record between Valentin Vacherot and Luca Van Assche?

Luca Van Assche leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Luca Van Assche 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 at France Lyon.

Who is in better form, Valentin Vacherot or Luca Van Assche?

Valentin Vacherot is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Luca Van Assche is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Valentin Vacherot and Luca Van Assche?

Valentin Vacherot is rated 6904 (ATP #39) and Luca Van Assche is rated 6872 (ATP #59). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Valentin Vacherot vs Luca Van Assche?

Valentin Vacherot is priced at -164 and Luca Van Assche at +132, which implies a 62% and 43% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.