Luca Staeheli vs Maxim Shin
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Luca Staeheli, giving them a 87% chance to win against Maxim Shin (13%). Luca Staeheli leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Staeheli is 7-3 in their last 10, Shin 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Luca Staeheli a 87% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model minus book: -5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Luca Staeheli at -769 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Luca Staeheli | Maxim Shin | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6463 | 6207 |
| Tour rank | ATP #612 | ATP #1563 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 53-27 | 24-28 |
| UTR | 14.03 | 12.92 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1272 | – |
| Best surface | Clay | – |
| Worst surface | Hard | – |
Head to head
Luca Staeheli leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Luca Staeheli | 6-1, 6-4 | China Shenzhen |
Recent form
Luca Staeheli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Mikalai Haliak | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Boris Butulija | W | 6-0, 3-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Daniil Sarksian | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Maxim Shin | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Haolong He | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 30.09.2026 | Andres Andrade | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 29.09.2026 | Oliver Okonkwo | W | 6-7, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 28.09.2026 | Alex Rybakov | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Bruno Kuzuhara | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 20.09.2026 | Erik Arutiunian | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
Maxim Shin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Calvin Mueller | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Adrian Arcon | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 22.10.2026 | Luca Staeheli | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Wenze Li | W | 5-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Yusuke Takahashi | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Petr Bar Biryukov | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Tomohiro Masabayashi | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Yuichiro Inui | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 03.10.2026 | Shixun Zhu | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 17.09.2026 | Leo Borg | L | 7-5, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Luca Staeheli | Maxim Shin |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Sarksian | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 7-5 |
| Jan Kumstat | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
| Petr Bar Biryukov | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Luca Staeheli 87% at -769
- 2026-10-26: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Luca Staeheli 87% at -769
- 2026-10-25: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Luca Staeheli 87% at -769
- 2026-10-24: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Luca Staeheli 87% at -769
- 2026-10-23: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Luca Staeheli 87% at -769
- 2026-10-22: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Luca Staeheli 87% at -769
- 2026-10-21: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Luca Staeheli 87% at -769
Luca Staeheli vs Maxim Shin: quick answers
Who will win Luca Staeheli vs Maxim Shin?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Luca Staeheli, giving them a 87% chance to win against Maxim Shin (13%).
What is the head-to-head record between Luca Staeheli and Maxim Shin?
Luca Staeheli leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Luca Staeheli 6-1, 6-4 at China Shenzhen.
Who is in better form, Luca Staeheli or Maxim Shin?
Luca Staeheli is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Maxim Shin is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Luca Staeheli and Maxim Shin?
Luca Staeheli is rated 6463 (ATP #612) and Maxim Shin is rated 6207 (ATP #1563). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Luca Staeheli vs Maxim Shin?
Luca Staeheli is priced at -769 and Maxim Shin at +467, which implies a 88% and 18% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.