Radu Mihai Papoe vs Luca Potenza
Updated
Radu Mihai Papoe beat Luca Potenza 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Radu Mihai Papoe leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Papoe is 7-3 in their last 10, Potenza 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Radu Mihai Papoe a 82% favorite. At -357 the sportsbook implies 78% for Radu Mihai Papoe, 4 points below the model's 82%.
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Radu Mihai Papoe at -357 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Radu Mihai Papoe | Luca Potenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6574 | 6572 |
| Tour rank | ATP #388 | ATP #391 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 4-1 | 3-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 59-16 | 30-28 |
| UTR | 14.2 | 13.81 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1490 | – |
| Best surface | Clay | – |
| Worst surface | Hard | – |
Head to head
Radu Mihai Papoe leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Radu Mihai Papoe | 6-3, 6-4 | Italy Catania |
Recent form
Radu Mihai Papoe, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Oriol Roca Batalla | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Gianluca Cadenasso | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Felix Gill | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Zdenek Kolar | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Zdenek Kolar | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Luca Potenza | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Michele Ribecai | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Borys Zgola | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 01.10.2026 | Vladislav Melnic | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu | W | 6-3, 5-7, 6-2 |
Luca Potenza, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Radu Mihai Papoe | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Oriol Roca Batalla | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Enrico Dalla Valle | L | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 30.09.2026 | Inaki Montes De La Torre | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Lui Maxted | W | 6-2, 4-2 |
| 27.09.2026 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 20.09.2026 | Moez Echargui | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 13.09.2026 | Finn Bass | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 05.09.2026 | Inaki Montes De La Torre | L | 2-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 04.09.2026 | Edas Butvilas | W | 4-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Radu Mihai Papoe | Luca Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandr Braynin | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 7-5 |
| Oriol Roca Batalla | 1-1 L 6-4, 6-1, W 6-7, 7-5, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Petr Nesterov | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Catania (Italy), model gave Radu Mihai Papoe 79% at -357
Radu Mihai Papoe vs Luca Potenza: quick answers
Who won Radu Mihai Papoe vs Luca Potenza?
Radu Mihai Papoe beat Luca Potenza 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Radu Mihai Papoe and Luca Potenza?
Radu Mihai Papoe leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Radu Mihai Papoe 6-3, 6-4 at Italy Catania.
Who is in better form, Radu Mihai Papoe or Luca Potenza?
Radu Mihai Papoe is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Luca Potenza is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Radu Mihai Papoe and Luca Potenza?
Radu Mihai Papoe is rated 6574 (ATP #388) and Luca Potenza is rated 6572 (ATP #391). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Radu Mihai Papoe vs Luca Potenza?
Radu Mihai Papoe is priced at -357 and Luca Potenza at +231, which implies a 78% and 30% chance to win. The model rates Radu Mihai Papoe 4 points higher than the odds do (82% vs 78%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.