Radu Mihai Papoe vs Luca Potenza

ATP Catania (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 07:30.

Updated

Radu Mihai Papoe beat Luca Potenza 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Radu Mihai Papoe leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Papoe is 7-3 in their last 10, Potenza 4-6.

Result: Radu Mihai Papoe beat Luca Potenza 6-3, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Radu Mihai Papoe a 82% favorite. At -357 the sportsbook implies 78% for Radu Mihai Papoe, 4 points below the model's 82%.

Model
82%
Book
78%

Model minus book: +4 pts

Model
18%
Book
30%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Radu Mihai Papoe at -357 · Model track record

Player comparison

Radu Mihai PapoeLuca Potenza
Tennis Gauge rating65746572
Tour rankATP #388ATP #391
Last 10 matches7-34-6
Last 30 days4-13-3
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record59-1630-28
UTR14.213.81
Elo (52 weeks)1490–
Best surfaceClay–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Radu Mihai Papoe leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Radu Mihai Papoe6-3, 6-4Italy Catania

Recent form

Radu Mihai Papoe, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Oriol Roca Batalla L6-4, 6-1
18.10.2026Gianluca Cadenasso L6-4, 3-6, 6-4
17.10.2026Felix Gill W6-4, 7-5
16.10.2026Zdenek Kolar W6-4, 6-2
16.10.2026Zdenek Kolar W6-4, 6-2
14.10.2026Luca Potenza W6-3, 6-4
13.10.2026Michele Ribecai W6-3, 6-4
02.10.2026Borys Zgola L6-3, 7-5
01.10.2026Vladislav Melnic W6-3, 6-2
30.09.2026Stefan Adrian Andreescu W6-3, 5-7, 6-2

Luca Potenza, last 10

DateOpponentScore
14.10.2026Radu Mihai Papoe L6-3, 6-4
13.10.2026Oriol Roca Batalla W6-2, 6-4
06.10.2026Enrico Dalla Valle L6-1, 7-5
30.09.2026Inaki Montes De La Torre L6-3, 6-2
28.09.2026Lui Maxted W6-2, 4-2
27.09.2026Ivan Marrero Curbelo W6-4, 4-6, 6-3
20.09.2026Moez Echargui L6-7, 6-4, 6-3
13.09.2026Finn Bass L4-6, 7-6, 6-4
05.09.2026Inaki Montes De La Torre L2-6, 7-6, 7-6
04.09.2026Edas Butvilas W4-6, 7-5, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentRadu Mihai PapoeLuca Potenza
Aleksandr Braynin 1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
0-1
L 7-6, 7-5
Oriol Roca Batalla 1-1
L 6-4, 6-1, W 6-7, 7-5, 7-5
1-0
W 6-2, 6-4
Petr Nesterov 0-1
L 7-5, 6-3
0-1
L 5-7, 6-3, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: ATP Catania (Italy), model gave Radu Mihai Papoe 79% at -357

Radu Mihai Papoe vs Luca Potenza: quick answers

Who won Radu Mihai Papoe vs Luca Potenza?

Radu Mihai Papoe beat Luca Potenza 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Radu Mihai Papoe and Luca Potenza?

Radu Mihai Papoe leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Radu Mihai Papoe 6-3, 6-4 at Italy Catania.

Who is in better form, Radu Mihai Papoe or Luca Potenza?

Radu Mihai Papoe is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Luca Potenza is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Radu Mihai Papoe and Luca Potenza?

Radu Mihai Papoe is rated 6574 (ATP #388) and Luca Potenza is rated 6572 (ATP #391). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Radu Mihai Papoe vs Luca Potenza?

Radu Mihai Papoe is priced at -357 and Luca Potenza at +231, which implies a 78% and 30% chance to win. The model rates Radu Mihai Papoe 4 points higher than the odds do (82% vs 78%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.