Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi

ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), Hard. Friday, October 16, 2026, 08:00.

Updated

Luca Nardi beat Michael Mmoh 6-4, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Michael Mmoh at 58%. Luca Nardi leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mmoh is 6-4 in their last 10, Nardi 4-6.

Result: Luca Nardi beat Michael Mmoh 6-4, 6-4. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Michael Mmoh.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Michael Mmoh a 58% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
58%
Book
58%

Model minus book: 0 pts

Luca Nardi +100
Model
42%
Book
50%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Michael Mmoh at -137 · Model track record

Player comparison

Michael MmohLuca Nardi
Tennis Gauge rating67276695
Tour rankATP #179ATP #224
Last 10 matches6-44-6
Last 30 days4-22-1
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record33-2419-23
UTR14.5414.54
Elo (52 weeks)15801560
Best surfaceHardHard
Worst surfaceGrassGrass

Head to head

Luca Nardi leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Luca Nardi6-4, 6-4Italy Olbia

Recent form

Michael Mmoh, last 10

DateOpponentScore
19.10.2026Kyrian Jacquet L7-6
18.10.2026Jan Kumstat W6-1, 6-7, 6-3
16.10.2026Luca Nardi L6-4, 6-4
14.10.2026Daniel Rincon W7-5, 6-2
13.10.2026Laslo Djere W6-4, 6-3
28.09.2026Laslo Djere L6-4, 6-4
21.09.2026Darwin Blanch L3-6, 6-4, 6-2
20.09.2026J J Wolf W6-2, 6-2
19.09.2026Abedallah Shelbayh W6-4, 6-4
16.09.2026Patrick Maloney W7-5, 6-3

Luca Nardi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
17.10.2026Jacob Fearnley L6-2, 6-4
16.10.2026Michael Mmoh W6-4, 6-4
14.10.2026Lorenzo Carboni W6-4, 6-1
13.10.2026August Holmgren W4-6, 6-4, 6-4
05.10.2026Pablo Llamas Ruiz L6-1, 7-6
25.08.2026Federico Cina L6-4, 3-0
11.07.2026Andrea Guerrieri L6-3, 7-6
24.06.2026Otto Virtanen L6-4, 6-4
22.06.2026Rio Noguchi W6-2, 6-3
15.06.2026Remy Bertola L3-6, 7-6, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMichael MmohLuca Nardi
Kyrian Jacquet 0-1
L 7-6
0-1
L 7-5, 3-6, 6-4
Remy Bertola 1-0
W 6-4, 6-7, 6-4
0-2
L 3-6, 7-6, 7-6, L 6-2, 4-6, 6-3
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 1-0
W 6-7, 6-2, 6-2
1-0
W 7-6, 7-6

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), model gave Michael Mmoh 58% at -137

Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi: quick answers

Who won Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi?

Luca Nardi beat Michael Mmoh 6-4, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Michael Mmoh at 58%.

What is the head-to-head record between Michael Mmoh and Luca Nardi?

Luca Nardi leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Luca Nardi 6-4, 6-4 at Italy Olbia.

Who is in better form, Michael Mmoh or Luca Nardi?

Michael Mmoh is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Luca Nardi is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Michael Mmoh and Luca Nardi?

Michael Mmoh is rated 6727 (ATP #179) and Luca Nardi is rated 6695 (ATP #224). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi?

Michael Mmoh is priced at -137 and Luca Nardi at +100, which implies a 58% and 50% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.