Luca Castelnuovo vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Luca Castelnuovo, giving them a 61% chance to win against Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (39%). Luca Castelnuovo leads 3-0 in their head-to-head. Castelnuovo is 4-6 in their last 10, Leong 5-5. At +118, the odds imply 46% for Luca Castelnuovo, below the model's 61%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Luca Castelnuovo a 61% favorite. At +118 the sportsbook implies 46% for Luca Castelnuovo, 16 points below the model's 61%.
Model minus book: +16 pts
Model minus book: -24 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Luca Castelnuovo at +118 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Luca Castelnuovo | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6512 | 6482 |
| Tour rank | ATP #508 | ATP #554 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 30-28 | 43-31 |
| UTR | 13.83 | 13.81 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1266 | 1310 |
| Best surface | Hard | Hard |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Luca Castelnuovo leads 3-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Luca Castelnuovo | 6-3, 6-4 | China Guangzhou |
| 07.07.2026 | Luca Castelnuovo | 7-6, 6-3 | United Kingdom Nottingham |
| 10.02.2026 | Luca Castelnuovo | 6-4, 6-0 | India Chennai |
Recent form
Luca Castelnuovo, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Filip Peliwo | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 25.10.2026 | Yusuke Kusuhara | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Khumoyun Sultanov | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Egor Pleshivtsev | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Akira Santillan | L | 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Pavel Kotov | L | 6-7, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 16.09.2026 | Elias Ymer | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 15.09.2026 | Omar Jasika | W | 6-7, 6-2, 1-0 |
| 12.09.2026 | Ilya Ivashka | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Qian Sun | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 19.10.2026 | Luca Castelnuovo | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Fumin Jiang | W | 6-7, 6-4, 3-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Sidharth Rawat | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Marat Sharipov | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | Thomas Fancutt | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Petr Bar Biryukov | L | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 17.09.2026 | James Trotter | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 16.09.2026 | Sergey Fomin | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Luca Castelnuovo | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Dellavedova | 1-1 L 4-6, 6-3, 4-1, W 6-4, 0-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Moerani Bouzige | 1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 0-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Omar Jasika | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-2, 1-0 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
| S D Prajwal Dev | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
| Takuya Kumasaka | 1-0 W 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Tsung Hao Huang | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Ye Hongyu | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 37% at +111
- 2026-10-18: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 37% at +111
Luca Castelnuovo vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong: quick answers
Who will win Luca Castelnuovo vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Luca Castelnuovo, giving them a 61% chance to win against Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (39%).
What is the head-to-head record between Luca Castelnuovo and Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong?
Luca Castelnuovo leads 3-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Luca Castelnuovo 6-3, 6-4 at China Guangzhou.
Who is in better form, Luca Castelnuovo or Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong?
Luca Castelnuovo is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Luca Castelnuovo and Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong?
Luca Castelnuovo is rated 6512 (ATP #508) and Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong is rated 6482 (ATP #554). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Luca Castelnuovo vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong?
Luca Castelnuovo is priced at +118 and Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong at -167, which implies a 46% and 63% chance to win. The model rates Luca Castelnuovo 16 points higher than the odds do (61% vs 46%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.