Sergio Callejon Hernando vs Luca Castagnola

ATP Monastir (X) II (Tunisia), Hard. Friday, October 16, 2026, 03:00.

Updated

Sergio Callejon Hernando beat Luca Castagnola 6-2, 4-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Sergio Callejon Hernando leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Hernando is 9-1 in their last 10, Castagnola 5-5.

Result: Sergio Callejon Hernando beat Luca Castagnola 6-2, 4-6, 6-3. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Sergio Callejon Hernando a 78% favorite. At +425 the sportsbook implies 19% for Luca Castagnola, 3 points below the model's 22%.

Model
78%
Book
89%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model
22%
Book
19%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Luca Castagnola at +425 · Model track record

Player comparison

Sergio Callejon HernandoLuca Castagnola
Tennis Gauge rating65076382
Tour rankATP #514ATP #853
Last 10 matches9-15-5
Last 30 days7-04-2
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record43-2829-34
UTR13.6813.43
Elo (52 weeks)1304–
Best surfaceGrass–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Sergio Callejon Hernando leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Sergio Callejon Hernando6-2, 4-6, 6-3Tunisia Monastir
16.10.2026Sergio Callejon Hernando6-2, 4-6, 6-3Tunisia Monastir

Recent form

Sergio Callejon Hernando, last 10

DateOpponentScore
17.10.2026Robin Bertrand L6-2, 6-7, 6-2
16.10.2026Luca Castagnola W6-2, 4-6, 6-3
16.10.2026Luca Castagnola W6-2, 4-6, 6-3
15.10.2026Thiago Agustin Pernas W6-3, 6-0
14.10.2026Maxi Carrascosa Diaz W6-2, 6-3
11.10.2026Matisse Bobichon W6-1, 1-6, 6-1
10.10.2026Ziga Sesko W7-5, 6-1
09.10.2026Diogo Marques W6-2, 6-3
08.10.2026Adrien Burdet W6-1, 6-4
07.10.2026Noah Thurner W6-1, 6-3

Luca Castagnola, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Jake Fellows L6-3, 7-6
27.10.2026Patric Prinoth W6-3, 6-4
16.10.2026Sergio Callejon Hernando L6-2, 4-6, 6-3
16.10.2026Sergio Callejon Hernando L6-2, 4-6, 6-3
15.10.2026Kasra Rahmani W6-3, 6-3
14.10.2026Josh Manuel W6-3, 6-3
01.10.2026Robert Strombachs L6-2, 4-6, 6-3
30.09.2026Jan Werblinski W6-2, 6-0
24.09.2026Faris Zakaryia L6-4, 6-2
23.09.2026Jan Hrazdil W7-6, 6-0

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSergio Callejon HernandoLuca Castagnola
Arthur Nagel 1-0
W 3-6, 6-1, 6-2
0-1
L 4-6, 7-5, 6-4
Federico Arnaboldi 0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 6-1
Felix Balshaw 0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 6-2, 6-1
Izan Almazan Valiente 0-1
L 6-3, 7-5
0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
Max Basing 0-1
L 4-6, 6-3, 6-2
0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
Menelaos Efstathiou 1-0
W 6-2, 3-6, 6-3
1-0
W 4-6, 6-3, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: ATP Monastir (X) II (Tunisia), model gave Sergio Callejon Hernando 78% at -833

Sergio Callejon Hernando vs Luca Castagnola: quick answers

Who won Sergio Callejon Hernando vs Luca Castagnola?

Sergio Callejon Hernando beat Luca Castagnola 6-2, 4-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Sergio Callejon Hernando and Luca Castagnola?

Sergio Callejon Hernando leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Sergio Callejon Hernando 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 at Tunisia Monastir.

Who is in better form, Sergio Callejon Hernando or Luca Castagnola?

Sergio Callejon Hernando is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Luca Castagnola is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Sergio Callejon Hernando and Luca Castagnola?

Sergio Callejon Hernando is rated 6507 (ATP #514) and Luca Castagnola is rated 6382 (ATP #853). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Sergio Callejon Hernando vs Luca Castagnola?

Sergio Callejon Hernando is priced at -833 and Luca Castagnola at +425, which implies a 89% and 19% chance to win. The model rates Luca Castagnola 3 points higher than the odds do (22% vs 19%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.