Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Sonego
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lorenzo Sonego, giving them a 73% chance to win against Moise Kouame (27%). Moise Kouame leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kouame is 5-5 in their last 10, Sonego 2-8. At -196, the odds imply 66% for Lorenzo Sonego, below the model's 73%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Lorenzo Sonego a 73% favorite. At -196 the sportsbook implies 66% for Lorenzo Sonego, 7 points below the model's 73%.
Model minus book: -14 pts
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lorenzo Sonego at -196 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Moise Kouame | Lorenzo Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6728 | 6827 |
| Tour rank | ATP #177 | ATP #103 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 38-26 | 14-23 |
| UTR | 14.65 | 15.53 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1476 | 1691 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Moise Kouame leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Moise Kouame | 7-6, 6-4 | France Lyon |
Recent form
Moise Kouame, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Hugo Gaston | W | 7-5, 2-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Hugo Grenier | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Lorenzo Sonego | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Diego Dedura Palomero | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Adam Walton | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Alexandre Muller | L | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 19.09.2026 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Florent Bax | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Lorenzo Sonego, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Jacob Fearnley | L | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Moise Kouame | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Aziz Dougaz | L | 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Kamil Majchrzak | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Jenson Brooksby | L | 5-7, 7-5, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | James Duckworth | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 08.09.2026 | Francesco Passaro | L | 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 02.09.2026 | Alexander Zverev | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-7, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 27.08.2026 | James Duckworth | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Moise Kouame | Lorenzo Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-5, 3-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Joel Schwaerzler | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Lorenzo Sonego 75% at -182
- 2026-10-18: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Lorenzo Sonego 75% at -182
Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Sonego: quick answers
Who will win Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Sonego?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lorenzo Sonego, giving them a 73% chance to win against Moise Kouame (27%).
What is the head-to-head record between Moise Kouame and Lorenzo Sonego?
Moise Kouame leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Moise Kouame 7-6, 6-4 at France Lyon.
Who is in better form, Moise Kouame or Lorenzo Sonego?
Moise Kouame is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Lorenzo Sonego is 2-8 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Moise Kouame and Lorenzo Sonego?
Moise Kouame is rated 6728 (ATP #177) and Lorenzo Sonego is rated 6827 (ATP #103). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Sonego?
Moise Kouame is priced at +147 and Lorenzo Sonego at -196, which implies a 40% and 66% chance to win. The model rates Lorenzo Sonego 7 points higher than the odds do (73% vs 66%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.