Mathys Erhard vs Lorenzo Rocco
Updated
Mathys Erhard beat Lorenzo Rocco 6-4, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Mathys Erhard leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Erhard is 4-6 in their last 10, Rocco 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mathys Erhard a 97% favorite. At 0 the sportsbook implies -0% for Mathys Erhard, 97 points below the model's 97%.
Model minus book: +97 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mathys Erhard at 0 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mathys Erhard | Lorenzo Rocco | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6596 | 6040 |
| Tour rank | ATP #358 | ATP #2620 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 5 Losses |
| Season record | 41-32 | 6-10 |
| UTR | 14.34 | 12.41 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1423 | – |
| Best surface | Hard | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Mathys Erhard leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Mathys Erhard | 6-4, 7-6 | Italy Olbia |
Recent form
Mathys Erhard, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Valentin Royer | L | 7-6, 6-0 |
| 12.10.2026 | Leo Raquillet | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Lorenzo Rocco | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Oliver Tarvet | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | Alberto Barroso Campos | L | 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 27.09.2026 | Paul Theate | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 20.09.2026 | Patrick Zahraj | L | 4-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 09.09.2026 | Daniil Glinka | L | 7-6, 4-2 |
| 08.09.2026 | Benjamin Pietri | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 02.09.2026 | Inaki Montes De La Torre | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 |
Lorenzo Rocco, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Mathys Erhard | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Marco Furlanetto | L | 5-7, 6-3, 1-0 |
| 21.09.2026 | Marco Dessi | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 13.09.2026 | Nicola Rispoli | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 02.09.2026 | Alvaro Lago Furio | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 01.09.2026 | Pablo Rueda | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 27.08.2026 | Nicolas Fays | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 26.08.2026 | Alejandro De Marco Valle | W | 4-6, 7-6, 4-0 |
| 25.08.2026 | Oscar Darder Dias | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 23.06.2026 | Heaton Pann | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Mathys Erhard vs Lorenzo Rocco: quick answers
Who won Mathys Erhard vs Lorenzo Rocco?
Mathys Erhard beat Lorenzo Rocco 6-4, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Mathys Erhard and Lorenzo Rocco?
Mathys Erhard leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Mathys Erhard 6-4, 7-6 at Italy Olbia.
Who is in better form, Mathys Erhard or Lorenzo Rocco?
Mathys Erhard is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Lorenzo Rocco is 5-5 (current streak: 5 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mathys Erhard and Lorenzo Rocco?
Mathys Erhard is rated 6596 (ATP #358) and Lorenzo Rocco is rated 6040 (ATP #2620). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mathys Erhard vs Lorenzo Rocco?
Mathys Erhard is priced at 0 and Lorenzo Rocco at +933, which implies a -0% and 10% chance to win. The model rates Mathys Erhard 97 points higher than the odds do (97% vs -0%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.