Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti
Updated
Yi Zhou beat Lorenzo Musetti 7-6, 3-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Lorenzo Musetti at 96%. Yi Zhou leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Zhou is 6-4 in their last 10, Musetti 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti a 96% favorite. At -714 the sportsbook implies 88% for Lorenzo Musetti, 8 points below the model's 96%.
Model minus book: -13 pts
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lorenzo Musetti at -714 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Yi Zhou | Lorenzo Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6689 | 6935 |
| Tour rank | ATP #231 | ATP #20 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 27-25 | 28-14 |
| UTR | 14.2 | 16.05 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1439 | 1872 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Yi Zhou leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10.2026 | Yi Zhou | 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Yi Zhou, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Jake Delaney | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Elias Ymer | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Coleman Wong | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Andre Ilagan | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Zhizhen Zhang | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Koki Matsuda | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | W | 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Mattia Bellucci | W | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 28.09.2026 | Pablo Carreno Busta | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
Lorenzo Musetti, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Arthur Fery | L | 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 25.10.2026 | Taylor Fritz | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Luca Van Assche | W | 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Moise Kouame | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Matteo Arnaldi | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Yi Zhou | L | 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 03.09.2026 | Dane Sweeny | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 01.09.2026 | Arthur Fery | W | 6-3, 6-3, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Yi Zhou | Lorenzo Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Coleman Wong | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0-1 L 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Nicolas Mejia | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti: quick answers
Who won Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti?
Yi Zhou beat Lorenzo Musetti 7-6, 3-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Lorenzo Musetti at 96%.
What is the head-to-head record between Yi Zhou and Lorenzo Musetti?
Yi Zhou leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Yi Zhou 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Yi Zhou or Lorenzo Musetti?
Yi Zhou is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Lorenzo Musetti is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Yi Zhou and Lorenzo Musetti?
Yi Zhou is rated 6689 (ATP #231) and Lorenzo Musetti is rated 6935 (ATP #20). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti?
Yi Zhou is priced at +486 and Lorenzo Musetti at -714, which implies a 17% and 88% chance to win. The model rates Lorenzo Musetti 8 points higher than the odds do (96% vs 88%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.