Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti
Updated
Lorenzo Musetti beat Moise Kouame 6-4, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Lorenzo Musetti leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kouame is 5-5 in their last 10, Musetti 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti a 92% favorite. At -345 the sportsbook implies 78% for Lorenzo Musetti, 14 points below the model's 92%.
Model minus book: -20 pts
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lorenzo Musetti at -345 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Moise Kouame | Lorenzo Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6728 | 6935 |
| Tour rank | ATP #177 | ATP #20 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 38-26 | 28-14 |
| UTR | 14.65 | 16.05 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1476 | 1848 |
| Best surface | Hard | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Lorenzo Musetti leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4, 6-4 | France Lyon |
Recent form
Moise Kouame, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Hugo Gaston | W | 7-5, 2-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Hugo Grenier | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Lorenzo Sonego | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Diego Dedura Palomero | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Adam Walton | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Alexandre Muller | L | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 19.09.2026 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Florent Bax | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Lorenzo Musetti, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Arthur Fery | L | 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 25.10.2026 | Taylor Fritz | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Luca Van Assche | W | 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Moise Kouame | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Matteo Arnaldi | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Yi Zhou | L | 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 03.09.2026 | Dane Sweeny | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 01.09.2026 | Arthur Fery | W | 6-3, 6-3, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Moise Kouame | Lorenzo Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | 0-1 L 6-2, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Luca Van Assche | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 |
Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti: quick answers
Who won Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti?
Lorenzo Musetti beat Moise Kouame 6-4, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Moise Kouame and Lorenzo Musetti?
Lorenzo Musetti leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Lorenzo Musetti 6-4, 6-4 at France Lyon.
Who is in better form, Moise Kouame or Lorenzo Musetti?
Moise Kouame is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Lorenzo Musetti is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Moise Kouame and Lorenzo Musetti?
Moise Kouame is rated 6728 (ATP #177) and Lorenzo Musetti is rated 6935 (ATP #20). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti?
Moise Kouame is priced at +258 and Lorenzo Musetti at -345, which implies a 28% and 78% chance to win. The model rates Lorenzo Musetti 14 points higher than the odds do (92% vs 78%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.