Yanaki Milev vs Lorenzo Giustino

ATP Florence (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 07:55.

Updated

Yanaki Milev beat Lorenzo Giustino 6-1, 6-7, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Lorenzo Giustino at 70%. Yanaki Milev leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Milev is 7-3 in their last 10, Giustino 4-6.

Result: Yanaki Milev beat Lorenzo Giustino 6-1, 6-7, 6-3. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Lorenzo Giustino.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Lorenzo Giustino a 70% favorite. At -200 the sportsbook implies 67% for Lorenzo Giustino, 3 points below the model's 70%.

Model
30%
Book
42%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model
70%
Book
67%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lorenzo Giustino at -200 · Model track record

Player comparison

Yanaki MilevLorenzo Giustino
Tennis Gauge rating65536655
Tour rankATP #414ATP #275
Last 10 matches7-34-6
Last 30 days8-36-5
Current streak1 Loss3 Losses
Season record32-2737-35
UTR13.7114.17
Elo (52 weeks)14871469
Best surfaceGrassHard
Worst surfaceHardGrass

Head to head

Yanaki Milev leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
21.10.2026Yanaki Milev6-1, 6-7, 6-3Italy Florence

Recent form

Yanaki Milev, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Filippo Romano L6-3, 6-3
21.10.2026Lorenzo Giustino W6-1, 6-7, 6-3
19.10.2026Maximus Jones W7-5, 6-3
18.10.2026Pavel Lagutin W6-3, 6-4
12.10.2026Federico Iannaccone L7-6, 4-6, 7-6
11.10.2026Maxime Chazal W6-4, 7-6
10.10.2026Francesco Passaro L6-2, 6-1
09.10.2026Carlos Sanchez Jover W7-5, 6-3
08.10.2026Buvaysar Gadamauri W6-2, 7-6
06.10.2026Ivan Gakhov W6-2, 6-3

Lorenzo Giustino, last 10

DateOpponentScore
21.10.2026Yanaki Milev L6-1, 6-7, 6-3
16.10.2026Zsombor Piros L6-3, 1-6, 7-6
16.10.2026Zsombor Piros L6-3, 1-6, 7-6
14.10.2026Michael Vrbensky W7-5, 7-5
13.10.2026Andrea Pellegrino W6-4, 2-6, 6-1
08.10.2026Carlos Sanchez Jover L2-6, 6-2, 6-3
06.10.2026Christian Langmo W6-4, 6-1
01.10.2026Matthew William Donald L6-7, 6-3, 3-1
29.09.2026John Sperle W7-5, 6-7, 6-4
25.09.2026Gerard Campana Lee L6-3, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentYanaki MilevLorenzo Giustino
Andrej Martin 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 3-4
Buvaysar Gadamauri 1-0
W 6-2, 7-6
1-0
W 5-7, 6-4, 6-3
Carlos Sanchez Jover 1-0
W 7-5, 6-3
0-1
L 2-6, 6-2, 6-3
Cezar Cretu 0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
1-0
W 7-5, 6-4
Enrico Dalla Valle 0-1
L 6-0, 7-5
0-1
L 4-6, 6-4, 6-1
Ivan Gakhov 1-1
W 6-2, 6-3, L 2-6, 7-6, 7-5
1-0
W 6-0, 5-7, 6-2
Nico Hipfl 0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
1-0
W 6-2, 6-4

Yanaki Milev vs Lorenzo Giustino: quick answers

Who won Yanaki Milev vs Lorenzo Giustino?

Yanaki Milev beat Lorenzo Giustino 6-1, 6-7, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Lorenzo Giustino at 70%.

What is the head-to-head record between Yanaki Milev and Lorenzo Giustino?

Yanaki Milev leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Yanaki Milev 6-1, 6-7, 6-3 at Italy Florence.

Who is in better form, Yanaki Milev or Lorenzo Giustino?

Yanaki Milev is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Lorenzo Giustino is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Yanaki Milev and Lorenzo Giustino?

Yanaki Milev is rated 6553 (ATP #414) and Lorenzo Giustino is rated 6655 (ATP #275). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Yanaki Milev vs Lorenzo Giustino?

Yanaki Milev is priced at +140 and Lorenzo Giustino at -200, which implies a 42% and 67% chance to win. The model rates Lorenzo Giustino 3 points higher than the odds do (70% vs 67%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.