Lorenzo Giustino vs Michael Vrbensky

ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), Indoors. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 04:10.

Updated

Lorenzo Giustino beat Michael Vrbensky 7-5, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Lorenzo Giustino leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Giustino is 4-6 in their last 10, Vrbensky 4-6.

Result: Lorenzo Giustino beat Michael Vrbensky 7-5, 7-5. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Lorenzo Giustino a 76% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
76%
Book
75%

Model minus book: +1 pts

Model
24%
Book
33%

Model minus book: -9 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lorenzo Giustino at -303 · Model track record

Player comparison

Lorenzo GiustinoMichael Vrbensky
Tennis Gauge rating66556550
Tour rankATP #275ATP #424
Last 10 matches4-64-6
Last 30 days5-33-0
Current streak3 Losses1 Loss
Season record37-3511-18
UTR14.1713.66
Elo (52 weeks)1459–
Best surfaceHard–
Worst surfaceGrass–

Head to head

Lorenzo Giustino leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Lorenzo Giustino7-5, 7-5Portugal Maia

Recent form

Lorenzo Giustino, last 10

DateOpponentScore
21.10.2026Yanaki Milev L6-1, 6-7, 6-3
16.10.2026Zsombor Piros L6-3, 1-6, 7-6
16.10.2026Zsombor Piros L6-3, 1-6, 7-6
14.10.2026Michael Vrbensky W7-5, 7-5
13.10.2026Andrea Pellegrino W6-4, 2-6, 6-1
08.10.2026Carlos Sanchez Jover L2-6, 6-2, 6-3
06.10.2026Christian Langmo W6-4, 6-1
01.10.2026Matthew William Donald L6-7, 6-3, 3-1
29.09.2026John Sperle W7-5, 6-7, 6-4
25.09.2026Gerard Campana Lee L6-3, 7-5

Michael Vrbensky, last 10

DateOpponentScore
14.10.2026Lorenzo Giustino L7-5, 7-5
13.10.2026Raul Brancaccio W6-3, 6-1
12.10.2026Patrick Schoen W6-3, 6-4
11.10.2026Olle Wallin W4-3
14.09.2026Kai Wehnelt L7-5, 6-2
16.08.2026Oleksii Krutykh L2-6, 6-2, 6-4
28.07.2026Nikoloz Basilashvili L6-3, 3-6, 6-2
27.07.2026Maxime Janvier W6-3, 5-7, 6-3
20.07.2026Patrik Niklas Salminen L7-6, 6-7, 6-4
28.06.2026Maxime Janvier L7-6, 4-6, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentLorenzo GiustinoMichael Vrbensky
Laurent Lokoli 1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-7, 6-3, 6-0
Matej Dodig 1-0
W 4-6, 7-5, 7-6
0-1
L 6-4, 7-5
Olle Wallin 0-1
L 6-3, 7-6
1-0
W 4-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Lorenzo Giustino 76% at -303

Lorenzo Giustino vs Michael Vrbensky: quick answers

Who won Lorenzo Giustino vs Michael Vrbensky?

Lorenzo Giustino beat Michael Vrbensky 7-5, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Lorenzo Giustino and Michael Vrbensky?

Lorenzo Giustino leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Lorenzo Giustino 7-5, 7-5 at Portugal Maia.

Who is in better form, Lorenzo Giustino or Michael Vrbensky?

Lorenzo Giustino is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Michael Vrbensky is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Lorenzo Giustino and Michael Vrbensky?

Lorenzo Giustino is rated 6655 (ATP #275) and Michael Vrbensky is rated 6550 (ATP #424). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Lorenzo Giustino vs Michael Vrbensky?

Lorenzo Giustino is priced at -303 and Michael Vrbensky at +203, which implies a 75% and 33% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.