Lorenzo Claverie vs Mwendwa Mbithi
Updated
Mwendwa Mbithi beat Lorenzo Claverie 7-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Lorenzo Claverie at 83%. Mwendwa Mbithi leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Claverie is 3-7 in their last 10, Mbithi 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Lorenzo Claverie a 83% favorite. At -222 the sportsbook implies 69% for Lorenzo Claverie, 14 points below the model's 83%.
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model minus book: -24 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lorenzo Claverie at -222 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Lorenzo Claverie | Mwendwa Mbithi | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6405 | 6267 |
| Tour rank | ATP #768 | ATP #1293 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 14-19 | 21-17 |
| UTR | 13.56 | 13.27 |
Head to head
Mwendwa Mbithi leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Mwendwa Mbithi | 7-6, 7-6 | Ecuador Quito |
Recent form
Lorenzo Claverie, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 26.10.2026 | Ryan Nijboer | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Arklon Huertas Del Pino | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Mwendwa Mbithi | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Mauricio Echazu | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 13.09.2026 | Ozan Baris | L | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 23.08.2026 | Arklon Huertas Del Pino | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 16.08.2026 | Miguel Tobon | L | 6-7, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 26.07.2026 | Tristan Boyer | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
Mwendwa Mbithi, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Lucas Andrade Da Silva | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Daniel Salazar | W | 6-3, 6-7, 3-0 |
| 15.10.2026 | Lorenzo Claverie | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Darwin Andres Macias Elizalde | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Matteo Covato | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 30.07.2026 | Niels Peter Van Noord | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 29.07.2026 | Andres Delgadillo | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 25.07.2026 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | L | 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 24.07.2026 | Emiliano Aguilera Guerrero | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Lorenzo Claverie | Mwendwa Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Papa | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Matias Soto | 0-1 L 7-5, 7-5 |
0-1 L 1-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| Mauricio Echazu | 1-0 W 7-5, 7-5 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP Quito (X) (Ecuador), model gave Lorenzo Claverie 83% at -222
Lorenzo Claverie vs Mwendwa Mbithi: quick answers
Who won Lorenzo Claverie vs Mwendwa Mbithi?
Mwendwa Mbithi beat Lorenzo Claverie 7-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Lorenzo Claverie at 83%.
What is the head-to-head record between Lorenzo Claverie and Mwendwa Mbithi?
Mwendwa Mbithi leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Mwendwa Mbithi 7-6, 7-6 at Ecuador Quito.
Who is in better form, Lorenzo Claverie or Mwendwa Mbithi?
Lorenzo Claverie is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Mwendwa Mbithi is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Lorenzo Claverie and Mwendwa Mbithi?
Lorenzo Claverie is rated 6405 (ATP #768) and Mwendwa Mbithi is rated 6267 (ATP #1293). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Lorenzo Claverie vs Mwendwa Mbithi?
Lorenzo Claverie is priced at -222 and Mwendwa Mbithi at +146, which implies a 69% and 41% chance to win. The model rates Lorenzo Claverie 14 points higher than the odds do (83% vs 69%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.