Tommaso Compagnucci vs Lorenzo Carboni
Updated
Lorenzo Carboni beat Tommaso Compagnucci 6-3, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Tommaso Compagnucci at 84%. Lorenzo Carboni leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Compagnucci is 5-5 in their last 10, Carboni 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Tommaso Compagnucci a 84% favorite. At -238 the sportsbook implies 70% for Tommaso Compagnucci, 13 points below the model's 84%.
Model minus book: +13 pts
Model minus book: -23 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tommaso Compagnucci at -238 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6556 | 6531 |
| Tour rank | ATP #408 | ATP #469 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 6-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 66-25 | 35-34 |
| UTR | 14.22 | 13.78 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1422 | 1185 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Lorenzo Carboni leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Lorenzo Carboni | 6-3, 7-5 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X |
Recent form
Tommaso Compagnucci, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Lorenzo Carboni | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 19.10.2026 | Pietro Marino | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Branko Djuric | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Pierluigi Basile | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alexander Chang | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Pol Martin Tiffon | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Yanaki Milev | W | 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 17.09.2026 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Riccardo Carpano | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 21.08.2026 | Dominic Stricker | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
Lorenzo Carboni, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Lorenzo Angelini | L | 6-0, 7-5 |
| 21.10.2026 | Tommaso Compagnucci | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Alexander Chang | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Luca Nardi | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 12.10.2026 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | W | 6-7, 6-4, 1-0 |
| 07.10.2026 | Federico Iannaccone | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 02.10.2026 | Sander Jong | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Javier Barranco Cosano | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Jaume Casas Blasi | W | 6-3, 1-6, 6-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Daniel Michalski | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Tommaso Compagnucci | Lorenzo Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Chang | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Federico Arnaboldi | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
| Jacopo Vasami | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Jelle Sels | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-0, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 1-2 L 6-4, 6-3, L 6-3, 6-7, 6-4, W 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 2-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Li Tu | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
Tommaso Compagnucci vs Lorenzo Carboni: quick answers
Who won Tommaso Compagnucci vs Lorenzo Carboni?
Lorenzo Carboni beat Tommaso Compagnucci 6-3, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Tommaso Compagnucci at 84%.
What is the head-to-head record between Tommaso Compagnucci and Lorenzo Carboni?
Lorenzo Carboni leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Lorenzo Carboni 6-3, 7-5 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X.
Who is in better form, Tommaso Compagnucci or Lorenzo Carboni?
Tommaso Compagnucci is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Lorenzo Carboni is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Tommaso Compagnucci and Lorenzo Carboni?
Tommaso Compagnucci is rated 6556 (ATP #408) and Lorenzo Carboni is rated 6531 (ATP #469). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Tommaso Compagnucci vs Lorenzo Carboni?
Tommaso Compagnucci is priced at -238 and Lorenzo Carboni at +152, which implies a 70% and 40% chance to win. The model rates Tommaso Compagnucci 13 points higher than the odds do (84% vs 70%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.