Lorenzo Angelini vs Raffaele Ciurnelli
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lorenzo Angelini, giving them a 59% chance to win against Raffaele Ciurnelli (41%). Lorenzo Angelini leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Angelini is 5-5 in their last 10, Ciurnelli 3-7. At +200, the odds imply 33% for Raffaele Ciurnelli, below the model's 41%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Lorenzo Angelini a 59% favorite. At +200 the sportsbook implies 33% for Raffaele Ciurnelli, 8 points below the model's 41%.
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Raffaele Ciurnelli at +200 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Lorenzo Angelini | Raffaele Ciurnelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6484 | 6383 |
| Tour rank | ATP #549 | ATP #846 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| Last 30 days | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 39-26 | 8-8 |
| UTR | 13.61 | 13.44 |
Head to head
Lorenzo Angelini leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Lorenzo Angelini | 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X |
Recent form
Lorenzo Angelini, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Matteo Gribaldo | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Lorenzo Carboni | W | 6-0, 7-5 |
| 21.10.2026 | Arthur Bellegy | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Raffaele Ciurnelli | W | 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Kai Wehnelt | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 04.10.2026 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Gianluca Cadenasso | L | 5-7, 6-3, 6-0 |
| 28.09.2026 | Garrett Johns | W | 4-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Matteo Sciahbasi | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Lorenzo Comino | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
Raffaele Ciurnelli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Lorenzo Bocchi | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Lorenzo Angelini | L | 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 24.09.2026 | Alvaro Lago Furio | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 06.09.2026 | Jordan Lee | L | 2-6, 2-6 |
| 24.07.2026 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | L | 5-2 |
| 22.07.2026 | Lorenzo Beraldo | W | 6-0, 7-6 |
| 20.07.2026 | Niccolo Ciavarella | W | 4-6, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 06.07.2026 | Dimitar Kisimov | L | 3-6, 5-7 |
| 16.06.2026 | Giorgio Tabacco | L | 2-6, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 02.06.2026 | Mathys Domenc | L | 4-6, 2-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Lorenzo Angelini vs Raffaele Ciurnelli: quick answers
Who will win Lorenzo Angelini vs Raffaele Ciurnelli?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lorenzo Angelini, giving them a 59% chance to win against Raffaele Ciurnelli (41%).
What is the head-to-head record between Lorenzo Angelini and Raffaele Ciurnelli?
Lorenzo Angelini leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Lorenzo Angelini 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X.
Who is in better form, Lorenzo Angelini or Raffaele Ciurnelli?
Lorenzo Angelini is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Raffaele Ciurnelli is 3-7 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Lorenzo Angelini and Raffaele Ciurnelli?
Lorenzo Angelini is rated 6484 (ATP #549) and Raffaele Ciurnelli is rated 6383 (ATP #846). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Lorenzo Angelini vs Raffaele Ciurnelli?
Lorenzo Angelini is priced at -333 and Raffaele Ciurnelli at +200, which implies a 77% and 33% chance to win. The model rates Raffaele Ciurnelli 8 points higher than the odds do (41% vs 33%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.