Lorenzo Carboni vs Lorenzo Angelini

ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 02:30.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Lorenzo Carboni, giving them a 55% chance to win against Lorenzo Angelini (45%). Lorenzo Angelini leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Carboni is 5-5 in their last 10, Angelini 5-5.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Lorenzo Carboni a 55% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
55%
Book
68%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model
45%
Book
42%

Model minus book: +2 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lorenzo Carboni at -208 · Model track record

Player comparison

Lorenzo CarboniLorenzo Angelini
Tennis Gauge rating65316484
Tour rankATP #469ATP #549
Last 10 matches5-55-5
Last 30 days5-32-3
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record35-3439-26
UTR13.7813.61
Elo (52 weeks)1185–
Best surfaceGrass–
Worst surfaceClay–

Head to head

Lorenzo Angelini leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
22.10.2026Lorenzo Angelini6-0, 7-5Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X

Recent form

Lorenzo Carboni, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Lorenzo Angelini L6-0, 7-5
21.10.2026Tommaso Compagnucci W6-3, 7-5
20.10.2026Alexander Chang W6-3, 6-3
14.10.2026Luca Nardi L6-4, 6-1
12.10.2026Mackenzie Mcdonald W6-7, 6-4, 1-0
07.10.2026Federico Iannaccone L6-3, 6-0
02.10.2026Sander Jong L6-3, 6-1
01.10.2026Javier Barranco Cosano W6-0, 6-4
29.09.2026Jaume Casas Blasi W6-3, 1-6, 6-1
24.09.2026Daniel Michalski L6-3, 6-3

Lorenzo Angelini, last 10

DateOpponentScore
23.10.2026Matteo Gribaldo L6-2, 6-2
22.10.2026Lorenzo Carboni W6-0, 7-5
21.10.2026Arthur Bellegy W6-1, 6-2
20.10.2026Raffaele Ciurnelli W6-1, 3-6, 6-3
11.10.2026Kai Wehnelt L6-2, 6-0
04.10.2026Oleksandr Ovcharenko L6-4, 6-4
30.09.2026Gianluca Cadenasso L5-7, 6-3, 6-0
28.09.2026Garrett Johns W4-6, 7-6, 7-5
23.09.2026Matteo Sciahbasi L6-3, 7-6
22.09.2026Lorenzo Comino W6-2, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentLorenzo CarboniLorenzo Angelini
Arthur Bellegy 1-0
W 7-6, 6-1
1-0
W 6-1, 6-2
Edoardo Cherie Ligniere 1-0
W 7-6, 3-1
1-0
W 6-2, 6-1
Federico Iannaccone 0-2
L 6-3, 6-0, L 6-2, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
Francesco Forti 1-3
L 5-7, 7-6, 6-1, W 4-6, 6-4, 6-0, L 6-1, 6-3, L 4-6, 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-2, 6-1
Gianluca Cadenasso 0-1
L 6-3, 6-1
0-1
L 5-7, 6-3, 6-0
Luca Potenza 1-0
W 6-2, 7-6
0-1
L 6-4, 3-6, 6-4
Matteo Sciahbasi 0-1
L 3-6, 6-2, 6-1
0-1
L 6-3, 7-6

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-27: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Lorenzo Carboni 55% at -208
  • 2026-10-26: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Lorenzo Carboni 55% at -208
  • 2026-10-25: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Lorenzo Carboni 55% at -208
  • 2026-10-24: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Lorenzo Carboni 55% at -208
  • 2026-10-23: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Lorenzo Carboni 55% at -208
  • 2026-10-22: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Lorenzo Carboni 55% at -208
  • 2026-10-21: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Lorenzo Carboni 55% at -208

Lorenzo Carboni vs Lorenzo Angelini: quick answers

Who will win Lorenzo Carboni vs Lorenzo Angelini?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Lorenzo Carboni, giving them a 55% chance to win against Lorenzo Angelini (45%).

What is the head-to-head record between Lorenzo Carboni and Lorenzo Angelini?

Lorenzo Angelini leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Lorenzo Angelini 6-0, 7-5 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X.

Who is in better form, Lorenzo Carboni or Lorenzo Angelini?

Lorenzo Carboni is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Lorenzo Angelini is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Lorenzo Carboni and Lorenzo Angelini?

Lorenzo Carboni is rated 6531 (ATP #469) and Lorenzo Angelini is rated 6484 (ATP #549). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Lorenzo Carboni vs Lorenzo Angelini?

Lorenzo Carboni is priced at -208 and Lorenzo Angelini at +136, which implies a 68% and 42% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.