Mathilde Lollia vs Loes Ebeling Koning
Updated
Mathilde Lollia beat Loes Ebeling Koning 7-5, 4-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Loes Ebeling Koning at 94%. Mathilde Lollia leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Lollia is 5-5 in their last 10, Koning 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Loes Ebeling Koning a 94% favorite. At -588 the sportsbook implies 85% for Loes Ebeling Koning, 8 points below the model's 94%.
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Loes Ebeling Koning at -588 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mathilde Lollia | Loes Ebeling Koning | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6529 | 6646 |
| Tour rank | WTA #499 | WTA #338 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 5-1 | 9-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 22-24 | 37-21 |
| UTR | 10.8 | 11.79 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1410 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Grass |
Head to head
Mathilde Lollia leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Mathilde Lollia | 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 | Portugal Lisboa |
Recent form
Mathilde Lollia, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Margaux Maquet | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Amandine Monnot | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Paula Ormaechea | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Clara Burel | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Darja Semenistaja | W | 7-6, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Loes Ebeling Koning | W | 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Maria Martinez Vaquero | W | 3-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Juliana Giaccio | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Carolyn Ansari | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Martha Matoula | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
Loes Ebeling Koning, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Mathilde Lollia | L | 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Pia Lovric | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Rositsa Dencheva | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 06.10.2026 | Teodora Naidenova | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 26.09.2026 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Alessandra Mazzola | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Jule Niemeier | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 23.09.2026 | Miriam Bianca Bulgaru | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 19.09.2026 | Elizara Yaneva | L | 6-3, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 18.09.2026 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mathilde Lollia | Loes Ebeling Koning |
|---|---|---|
| Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 1-0 W 6-4, 1-6, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-0 |
| Elena Milovanovic | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Margaux Maquet | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
| Nastasja Schunk | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: WTA Lisboa (Portugal), model gave Mathilde Lollia 6% at +340
Mathilde Lollia vs Loes Ebeling Koning: quick answers
Who won Mathilde Lollia vs Loes Ebeling Koning?
Mathilde Lollia beat Loes Ebeling Koning 7-5, 4-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Loes Ebeling Koning at 94%.
What is the head-to-head record between Mathilde Lollia and Loes Ebeling Koning?
Mathilde Lollia leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Mathilde Lollia 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 at Portugal Lisboa.
Who is in better form, Mathilde Lollia or Loes Ebeling Koning?
Mathilde Lollia is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Loes Ebeling Koning is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mathilde Lollia and Loes Ebeling Koning?
Mathilde Lollia is rated 6529 (WTA #499) and Loes Ebeling Koning is rated 6646 (WTA #338). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mathilde Lollia vs Loes Ebeling Koning?
Mathilde Lollia is priced at +340 and Loes Ebeling Koning at -588, which implies a 23% and 85% chance to win. The model rates Loes Ebeling Koning 8 points higher than the odds do (94% vs 85%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.