Lisa Zaar vs Matilde Jorge
Updated
Matilde Jorge beat Lisa Zaar 6-1, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Lisa Zaar at 52%. Matilde Jorge leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Zaar is 6-4 in their last 10, Jorge 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Lisa Zaar a 52% favorite. At +168 the sportsbook implies 37% for Matilde Jorge, 11 points below the model's 48%.
Model minus book: -19 pts
Model minus book: +11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matilde Jorge at +168 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Lisa Zaar | Matilde Jorge | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6704 | 6718 |
| Tour rank | WTA #278 | WTA #271 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 7-3 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 41-28 | 33-31 |
| UTR | 11.57 | 11.47 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1407 | 1424 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Matilde Jorge leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Matilde Jorge | 6-1, 7-5 | Portugal Lisboa |
Recent form
Lisa Zaar, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Ayla Aksu | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Matilde Jorge | L | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 11.10.2026 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | L | 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Jessica Pieri | W | 4-0 |
| 09.10.2026 | Deborah Chiesa | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Sara Cakarevic | W | 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Sofia Rocchetti | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Rebeka Masarova | L | 5-7, 6-1, 7-5 |
| 21.09.2026 | Enola Chiesa | W | 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 20.09.2026 | Arianna Ovarelli | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
Matilde Jorge, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Margaux Maquet | L | 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Sada Nahimana | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Dalma Galfi | L | 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Lisa Zaar | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 30.09.2026 | Elena Malygina | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Sinja Kraus | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 22.09.2026 | Celia Cervino Ruiz | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.09.2026 | Mia Pohankova | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 15.09.2026 | Anastasia Gasanova | W | 6-1, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 13.09.2026 | Anastasia Gasanova | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Lisa Zaar | Matilde Jorge |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Malygina | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-2 |
| Francisca Jorge | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-2, L 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 |
| Sada Nahimana | 0-1 L 6-7, 7-5, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
| Varvara Lepchenko | 0-1 L 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-0, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: WTA Lisboa (Portugal), model gave Lisa Zaar 52% at -250
Lisa Zaar vs Matilde Jorge: quick answers
Who won Lisa Zaar vs Matilde Jorge?
Matilde Jorge beat Lisa Zaar 6-1, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Lisa Zaar at 52%.
What is the head-to-head record between Lisa Zaar and Matilde Jorge?
Matilde Jorge leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Matilde Jorge 6-1, 7-5 at Portugal Lisboa.
Who is in better form, Lisa Zaar or Matilde Jorge?
Lisa Zaar is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Matilde Jorge is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Lisa Zaar and Matilde Jorge?
Lisa Zaar is rated 6704 (WTA #278) and Matilde Jorge is rated 6718 (WTA #271). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Lisa Zaar vs Matilde Jorge?
Lisa Zaar is priced at -250 and Matilde Jorge at +168, which implies a 71% and 37% chance to win. The model rates Matilde Jorge 11 points higher than the odds do (48% vs 37%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.