Timofei Derepasko vs Linang Xiao
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Timofei Derepasko, giving them a 54% chance to win against Linang Xiao (46%). Linang Xiao leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Derepasko is 4-6 in their last 10, Xiao 2-8.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Timofei Derepasko a 54% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model minus book: -5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Timofei Derepasko at -122 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Timofei Derepasko | Linang Xiao | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6336 | 6443 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1018 | ATP #658 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 2-8 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 37-35 | 10-18 |
| UTR | 13.27 | 13.12 |
Head to head
Linang Xiao leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Linang Xiao | 6-2, 6-2 | China Shenzhen |
Recent form
Timofei Derepasko, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Hiroki Moriya | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 25.10.2026 | Xiaoyin Yang | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Linang Xiao | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Kristjan Tamm | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Isaac Becroft | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Omar Jasika | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Filip Peliwo | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 05.10.2026 | Sergey Fomin | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 28.09.2026 | Matic Dimic | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Francesco Ferrari | L | 2-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
Linang Xiao, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Jie Cui | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Boris Butulija | L | 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Timofei Derepasko | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Kong Weiyi | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 05.10.2026 | Federico Cina | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | L | 7-5, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 14.09.2026 | Colin Sinclair | L | 6-4, 1-6, 7-6 |
| 09.09.2026 | Alexis Galarneau | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 07.9.2026 | Kaichi Uchida | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 02.09.2026 | Colin Sinclair | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Timofei Derepasko | Linang Xiao |
|---|---|---|
| Boris Butulija | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
| Filip Peliwo | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Timofei Derepasko 54% at -122
- 2026-10-26: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Timofei Derepasko 54% at -122
- 2026-10-25: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Timofei Derepasko 54% at -122
- 2026-10-24: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Timofei Derepasko 54% at -122
- 2026-10-23: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Timofei Derepasko 54% at -122
- 2026-10-22: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Timofei Derepasko 54% at -122
- 2026-10-21: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Timofei Derepasko 54% at -122
Timofei Derepasko vs Linang Xiao: quick answers
Who will win Timofei Derepasko vs Linang Xiao?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Timofei Derepasko, giving them a 54% chance to win against Linang Xiao (46%).
What is the head-to-head record between Timofei Derepasko and Linang Xiao?
Linang Xiao leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Linang Xiao 6-2, 6-2 at China Shenzhen.
Who is in better form, Timofei Derepasko or Linang Xiao?
Timofei Derepasko is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Linang Xiao is 2-8 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Timofei Derepasko and Linang Xiao?
Timofei Derepasko is rated 6336 (ATP #1018) and Linang Xiao is rated 6443 (ATP #658). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Timofei Derepasko vs Linang Xiao?
Timofei Derepasko is priced at -122 and Linang Xiao at -103, which implies a 55% and 51% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.