Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger

WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), Hard. Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 09:30.

Updated

Lilli Tagger beat Tereza Valentova 7-5, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Tereza Valentova at 52%. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Valentova is 7-3 in their last 10, Tagger 5-5.

Result: Lilli Tagger beat Tereza Valentova 7-5, 6-3. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Tereza Valentova.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Tereza Valentova a 52% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
52%
Book
53%

Model minus book: -2 pts

Model
48%
Book
52%

Model minus book: -4 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tereza Valentova at -114 · Model track record

Player comparison

Tereza ValentovaLilli Tagger
Tennis Gauge rating70007027
Tour rankWTA #69WTA #47
Last 10 matches7-35-5
Last 30 days1-01-2
Current streak1 Loss2 Wins
Season record31-2234-21
UTR12.3412.18
Elo (52 weeks)18111740
Best surfaceClayHard
Worst surfaceGrassGrass

Head to head

Tied 1-1.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
21.10.2026Lilli Tagger7-5, 6-3Japan Osaka
01.05.2026Tereza Valentova7-5, 7-5France Saint-Malo

Recent form

Tereza Valentova, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Mia Pohankova L6-1, 6-4
25.10.2026Shuai Zhang W7-5, 6-2
24.10.2026En Shuo Liang W6-2, 3-6, 6-2
21.10.2026Lilli Tagger L7-5, 6-3
20.10.2026Shuai Zhang W6-2, 1-6, 6-4
29.08.2026Katie Volynets L6-3, 7-5
28.08.2026Julia Grabher W6-3, 6-1
27.08.2026Kylie Collins W6-1, 6-2
26.08.2026Fangran Tian W6-3, 6-1
24.08.2026Ariana Arseneault W7-6, 6-1

Lilli Tagger, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Magda Linette W6-2, 6-2
27.10.2026Venus Williams W6-2, 6-2
23.10.2026Ann Li L6-4, 3-6, 7-6
21.10.2026Tereza Valentova W7-5, 6-3
19.10.2026Liudmila Samsonova W6-3, 6-3
13.10.2026Nikola Bartunkova L7-6, 2-6, 6-1
30.09.2026Elena Gabriela Ruse L6-4, 6-2
03.09.2026Amanda Anisimova L6-3, 3-6, 6-1
31.08.2026Tamara Korpatsch W6-0, 7-6
24.08.2026Yuliia Starodubtseva L6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentTereza ValentovaLilli Tagger
Alina Korneeva 0-1
L 7-5, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
Daria Snigur 0-1
L 7-6, 6-3
1-0
W 7-6, 6-2
Ella Seidel 1-0
W 3-6, 6-2, 6-4
1-0
W 6-7, 6-4, 7-5
Fangran Tian 1-0
W 6-3, 6-1
1-0
W 6-2, 7-6
Magda Linette 0-1
L 5-7, 6-4, 7-6
1-0
W 6-2, 6-2

Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger: quick answers

Who won Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger?

Lilli Tagger beat Tereza Valentova 7-5, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Tereza Valentova at 52%.

What is the head-to-head record between Tereza Valentova and Lilli Tagger?

They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Lilli Tagger 7-5, 6-3 at Japan Osaka.

Who is in better form, Tereza Valentova or Lilli Tagger?

Tereza Valentova is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Lilli Tagger is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Tereza Valentova and Lilli Tagger?

Tereza Valentova is rated 7000 (WTA #69) and Lilli Tagger is rated 7027 (WTA #47). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger?

Tereza Valentova is priced at -114 and Lilli Tagger at -110, which implies a 53% and 52% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.