Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Liudmila Samsonova, giving them a 52% chance to win against Lilli Tagger (48%). Lilli Tagger leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Tagger is 5-5 in their last 10, Samsonova 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Liudmila Samsonova a 52% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model minus book: -5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Liudmila Samsonova at -137 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Lilli Tagger | Liudmila Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7027 | 7066 |
| Tour rank | WTA #47 | WTA #38 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 34-21 | 21-26 |
| UTR | 12.18 | 12.39 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1740 | 1842 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Hard |
Head to head
Lilli Tagger leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Lilli Tagger | 6-3, 6-3 | Japan Osaka |
| 09.04.2026 | Lilli Tagger | 6-2, 7-6 | Austria Linz |
Recent form
Lilli Tagger, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Magda Linette | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Venus Williams | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Ann Li | L | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Tereza Valentova | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Liudmila Samsonova | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Nikola Bartunkova | L | 7-6, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 30.09.2026 | Elena Gabriela Ruse | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 03.09.2026 | Amanda Anisimova | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 31.08.2026 | Tamara Korpatsch | W | 6-0, 7-6 |
| 24.08.2026 | Yuliia Starodubtseva | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
Liudmila Samsonova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Heather Watson | L | 2-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Lilli Tagger | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Elina Svitolina | L | 6-2, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Katerina Siniakova | W | 6-1, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Karolina Muchova | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Linda Fruhvirtova | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | Peyton Stearns | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 18.09.2026 | Marta Kostyuk | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 17.09.2026 | Kayla Day | W | 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 15.09.2026 | Elsa Jacquemot | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Lilli Tagger | Liudmila Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Potapova | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Ann Li | 0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-1, 7-5 |
| Harriet Dart | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Xin Yu Wang | 0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), model gave Lilli Tagger 46% at +111
- 2026-10-18: WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), model gave Lilli Tagger 46% at +111
Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova: quick answers
Who will win Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Liudmila Samsonova, giving them a 52% chance to win against Lilli Tagger (48%).
What is the head-to-head record between Lilli Tagger and Liudmila Samsonova?
Lilli Tagger leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Lilli Tagger 6-3, 6-3 at Japan Osaka.
Who is in better form, Lilli Tagger or Liudmila Samsonova?
Lilli Tagger is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Liudmila Samsonova is 5-5 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Lilli Tagger and Liudmila Samsonova?
Lilli Tagger is rated 7027 (WTA #47) and Liudmila Samsonova is rated 7066 (WTA #38). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova?
Lilli Tagger is priced at +111 and Liudmila Samsonova at -137, which implies a 47% and 58% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.