Matt Ponchet vs Liam Hignett
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Matt Ponchet, giving them a 82% chance to win against Liam Hignett (18%). Ponchet is 4-6 in their last 10, Hignett 7-3. At -192, the odds imply 66% for Matt Ponchet, below the model's 82%.
Prediction
The model makes Matt Ponchet a 82% favorite. At -192 the sportsbook implies 66% for Matt Ponchet, 17 points below the model's 82%.
Model minus book: +17 pts
Model minus book: -24 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matt Ponchet at -192 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matt Ponchet | Liam Hignett | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6375 | 6242 |
| Tour rank | ATP #872 | ATP #1406 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 4-1 | 3-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Win | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 16-21 | 22-13 |
| UTR | 13.1 | 12.95 |
Head to head
Matt Ponchet and Liam Hignett haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Matt Ponchet, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Martin Krumich | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Paul Jubb | L | 5-7, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Stijn Pel | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Arthur Nagel | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Theo Herrmann | W | 7-5, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 08.09.2026 | Mickael Kaouk | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 23.08.2026 | Inaki Montes De La Torre | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 16.08.2026 | Marcus Walters | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 31.07.2026 | Conor Gannon | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 30.07.2026 | Ammar Elamin | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
Liam Hignett, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Alexis Canter | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Louis Wessels | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Patrick Brady | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Pablo Perez Ramos | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 29.08.2026 | Nicola Cigna | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 27.08.2026 | Cameron Fryer | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 26.08.2026 | Rupert George | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 25.08.2026 | Scott Macaulay | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 24.08.2026 | Maximilian Carrier | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 02.08.2026 | Sean Hodkin | L | 6-3, 4-6, 1-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Matt Ponchet | Liam Hignett |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Walters | 0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Patrick Brady | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
| Paul Jubb | 0-1 L 5-7, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP Kingdom Sheffield (IX) (United Kingdom), model gave Matt Ponchet 82% at -192
- 2026-10-31: ATP Kingdom Sheffield (IX) (United Kingdom), model gave Matt Ponchet 82% at -192
- 2026-10-30: ATP Kingdom Sheffield (IX) (United Kingdom), model gave Matt Ponchet 82% at -192
Matt Ponchet vs Liam Hignett: quick answers
Who will win Matt Ponchet vs Liam Hignett?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Matt Ponchet, giving them a 82% chance to win against Liam Hignett (18%).
Have Matt Ponchet and Liam Hignett played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Matt Ponchet or Liam Hignett?
Matt Ponchet is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Liam Hignett is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matt Ponchet and Liam Hignett?
Matt Ponchet is rated 6375 (ATP #872) and Liam Hignett is rated 6242 (ATP #1406). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matt Ponchet vs Liam Hignett?
Matt Ponchet is priced at -192 and Liam Hignett at +137, which implies a 66% and 42% chance to win. The model rates Matt Ponchet 17 points higher than the odds do (82% vs 66%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.