Lilian Marmousez vs Liam Gavrielides

ATP Monastir (X) III (Tunisia), Hard. Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 02:50.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Lilian Marmousez, giving them a 67% chance to win against Liam Gavrielides (33%). Liam Gavrielides leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Marmousez is 8-2 in their last 10, Gavrielides 7-3.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Lilian Marmousez a 67% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
67%
Book
78%

Model minus book: -11 pts

Model
33%
Book
31%

Model minus book: +2 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lilian Marmousez at -357 · Model track record

Player comparison

Lilian MarmousezLiam Gavrielides
Tennis Gauge rating65036444
Tour rankATP #517ATP #656
Last 10 matches8-27-3
Last 30 days2-02-0
Current streak2 Wins1 Loss
Season record35-1029-19
UTR14.313.76
Elo (52 weeks)1438–
Best surfaceClay–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Liam Gavrielides leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
22.10.2026Liam Gavrielides6-4, 6-4Tunisia Monastir

Recent form

Lilian Marmousez, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Giovanni Ciocca W6-3, 6-0
28.10.2026Charles Chen W6-4, 6-2
22.10.2026Liam Gavrielides L6-4, 6-4
20.10.2026Kaan Isak Kosaner W6-4, 6-1
20.10.2026Kaan Isak Kosaner W6-4, 6-1
25.09.2026Luka Talan Lopatic W6-4, 6-1
24.09.2026Bruno Pujol Navarro W6-4, 1-6, 6-2
23.09.2026Matias Reyniak W6-2, 6-3
13.09.2026Mate Valkusz L6-1, 4-6, 7-5
12.09.2026Orel Kimhi W6-1, 6-3

Liam Gavrielides, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Louis Larue L6-3
25.10.2026Kasra Rahmani W4-6, 6-3, 7-5
24.10.2026Robin Bertrand W6-2, 6-2
23.10.2026Simone Massellani W4-6, 6-1, 6-0
22.10.2026Lilian Marmousez W6-4, 6-4
20.10.2026Josh Manuel W6-7, 6-3, 6-0
20.10.2026Josh Manuel W6-7, 6-3, 6-0
03.09.2026Amar Tahirovic L3-6, 6-4, 6-3
02.09.2026Marcel Zielinski W7-5, 7-5
24.08.2026Mika Brunold L6-2, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentLilian MarmousezLiam Gavrielides
Adrian Oetzbach 1-0
W 6-7, 6-1, 6-4
1-0
W 7-6, 6-7, 6-1
John Sperle 1-0
W 6-3, 7-6
1-0
W 6-3, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-27: ATP Monastir (X) III (Tunisia), model gave Lilian Marmousez 67% at -357
  • 2026-10-26: ATP Monastir (X) III (Tunisia), model gave Lilian Marmousez 67% at -357
  • 2026-10-25: ATP Monastir (X) III (Tunisia), model gave Lilian Marmousez 67% at -357
  • 2026-10-24: ATP Monastir (X) III (Tunisia), model gave Lilian Marmousez 67% at -357
  • 2026-10-23: ATP Monastir (X) III (Tunisia), model gave Lilian Marmousez 67% at -357
  • 2026-10-22: ATP Monastir (X) III (Tunisia), model gave Lilian Marmousez 67% at -357
  • 2026-10-21: ATP Monastir (X) III (Tunisia), model gave Lilian Marmousez 67% at -357
  • 2026-10-20: ATP Monastir (X) III (Tunisia), model gave Lilian Marmousez 67%

Lilian Marmousez vs Liam Gavrielides: quick answers

Who will win Lilian Marmousez vs Liam Gavrielides?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Lilian Marmousez, giving them a 67% chance to win against Liam Gavrielides (33%).

What is the head-to-head record between Lilian Marmousez and Liam Gavrielides?

Liam Gavrielides leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Liam Gavrielides 6-4, 6-4 at Tunisia Monastir.

Who is in better form, Lilian Marmousez or Liam Gavrielides?

Lilian Marmousez is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Liam Gavrielides is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Lilian Marmousez and Liam Gavrielides?

Lilian Marmousez is rated 6503 (ATP #517) and Liam Gavrielides is rated 6444 (ATP #656). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Lilian Marmousez vs Liam Gavrielides?

Lilian Marmousez is priced at -357 and Liam Gavrielides at +222, which implies a 78% and 31% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.