Martin Landaluce vs Liam Draxl

ATP Jinan (China), Hard. Saturday, October 17, 2026, 01:40.

Updated

Martin Landaluce beat Liam Draxl 7-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Martin Landaluce leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Landaluce is 5-5 in their last 10, Draxl 7-3.

Result: Martin Landaluce beat Liam Draxl 7-6, 6-3. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Martin Landaluce a 56% favorite. At +149 the sportsbook implies 40% for Liam Draxl, 4 points below the model's 44%.

Model
56%
Book
65%

Model minus book: -9 pts

Liam Draxl +149
Model
44%
Book
40%

Model minus book: +4 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Liam Draxl at +149 · Model track record

Player comparison

Martin LandaluceLiam Draxl
Tennis Gauge rating68346750
Tour rankATP #93ATP #155
Last 10 matches5-57-3
Last 30 days4-28-2
Current streak3 Losses1 Loss
Season record33-3443-27
UTR15.3214.74
Elo (52 weeks)16521598
Best surfaceGrassHard
Worst surfaceHardGrass

Head to head

Martin Landaluce leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
17.10.2026Martin Landaluce7-6, 6-3China Jinan

Recent form

Martin Landaluce, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Alexander Zverev L7-5, 3-6, 7-6
21.10.2026Stan Wawrinka L6-3, 6-7, 7-6
18.10.2026Mattia Bellucci L6-2, 4-6, 6-3
17.10.2026Liam Draxl W7-6, 6-3
16.10.2026Keegan Smith W3-6, 6-2, 6-3
16.10.2026Keegan Smith W3-6, 6-2, 6-3
14.10.2026Jie Cui W6-4, 7-5
13.10.2026Ilia Simakin W6-3, 6-3
08.10.2026Jan Lennard Struff L6-4, 6-4
28.09.2026Marco Trungelliti L6-1, 6-7, 7-6

Liam Draxl, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Daniil Ostapenkov L4-5
27.10.2026Tomasz Berkieta W7-6, 7-6
17.10.2026Martin Landaluce L7-6, 6-3
16.10.2026Tomas Machac W6-4, 3-6, 6-4
16.10.2026Tomas Machac W6-4, 3-6, 6-4
15.10.2026Ilya Ivashka W6-4, 0-6, 6-4
14.10.2026James Duckworth W6-4, 6-4
13.10.2026Omar Jasika W5-7, 7-6, 6-4
11.10.2026Yutong Du W6-1, 6-0
06.10.2026Nikoloz Basilashvili L5-7, 7-5, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMartin LandaluceLiam Draxl
Adam Walton 0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
Clement Chidekh 0-1
L 6-4, 3-6, 7-5
1-0
W 7-6, 6-4
Hugo Gaston 1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
1-0
W 7-5, 6-4
Ilia Simakin 1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-7, 6-2
Mackenzie Mcdonald 1-1
W 6-3, 6-4, L 3-6, 6-2, 7-5
1-0
W 3-6, 7-6, 6-2
Nicolas Mejia 0-1
L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-7, 6-4
Sebastian Korda 1-0
W 2-6, 7-6, 6-4
0-1
L 7-6, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-16: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Martin Landaluce 56% at -185

Martin Landaluce vs Liam Draxl: quick answers

Who won Martin Landaluce vs Liam Draxl?

Martin Landaluce beat Liam Draxl 7-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Martin Landaluce and Liam Draxl?

Martin Landaluce leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Martin Landaluce 7-6, 6-3 at China Jinan.

Who is in better form, Martin Landaluce or Liam Draxl?

Martin Landaluce is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Liam Draxl is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Martin Landaluce and Liam Draxl?

Martin Landaluce is rated 6834 (ATP #93) and Liam Draxl is rated 6750 (ATP #155). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Martin Landaluce vs Liam Draxl?

Martin Landaluce is priced at -185 and Liam Draxl at +149, which implies a 65% and 40% chance to win. The model rates Liam Draxl 4 points higher than the odds do (44% vs 40%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.