Liam Broady vs Naoya Honda
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Liam Broady, giving them a 86% chance to win against Naoya Honda (14%). Liam Broady leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Broady is 3-7 in their last 10, Honda 4-6. At -345, the odds imply 78% for Liam Broady, below the model's 86%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Liam Broady a 86% favorite. At -345 the sportsbook implies 78% for Liam Broady, 9 points below the model's 86%.
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Liam Broady at -345 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Liam Broady | Naoya Honda | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6635 | 6411 |
| Tour rank | ATP #302 | ATP #753 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 40-28 | 38-29 |
| UTR | 14.4 | 13.43 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1506 | – |
| Best surface | Grass | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Liam Broady leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Liam Broady | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 | China Ningbo |
| 26.03.2026 | Liam Broady | 6-1, 6-1 | Japan Yokkaichi |
Recent form
Liam Broady, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Naoya Honda | W | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Sergey Fomin | W | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Akira Santillan | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Dominik Palan | W | 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Dominic Stricker | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 24.08.2026 | Marco Cecchinato | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 13.08.2026 | Dhakshineswar Suresh | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 04.08.2026 | Ozan Baris | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 29.07.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | L | 7-5, 5-7, 6-4 |
Naoya Honda, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Liam Broady | L | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Filip Peliwo | W | 5-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 26.10.2026 | Khumoyun Sultanov | W | 3-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 25.10.2026 | Ryuki Matsuda | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Kasidit Samrej | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 04.10.2026 | Kristjan Tamm | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Marat Sharipov | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 17.09.2026 | Petr Bar Biryukov | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.09.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 2-6, 7-6 |
| 14.09.2026 | Jesse Flores | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Liam Broady | Naoya Honda |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Ellis | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 2-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Lui Maxted | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-0 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Ningbo (China), model gave Liam Broady 86% at -345
Liam Broady vs Naoya Honda: quick answers
Who will win Liam Broady vs Naoya Honda?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Liam Broady, giving them a 86% chance to win against Naoya Honda (14%).
What is the head-to-head record between Liam Broady and Naoya Honda?
Liam Broady leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Liam Broady 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 at China Ningbo.
Who is in better form, Liam Broady or Naoya Honda?
Liam Broady is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Naoya Honda is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Liam Broady and Naoya Honda?
Liam Broady is rated 6635 (ATP #302) and Naoya Honda is rated 6411 (ATP #753). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Liam Broady vs Naoya Honda?
Liam Broady is priced at -345 and Naoya Honda at +227, which implies a 78% and 31% chance to win. The model rates Liam Broady 9 points higher than the odds do (86% vs 78%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.