Mathys Erhard vs Leo Raquillet

ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), Hard. Monday, October 12, 2026, 02:30.

Updated

Mathys Erhard beat Leo Raquillet 6-0, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Mathys Erhard leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Erhard is 4-6 in their last 10, Raquillet 4-6.

Result: Mathys Erhard beat Leo Raquillet 6-0, 6-3. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Mathys Erhard a 84% favorite. At -400 the sportsbook implies 80% for Mathys Erhard, 4 points below the model's 84%.

Model
84%
Book
80%

Model minus book: +4 pts

Model
16%
Book
28%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mathys Erhard at -400 · Model track record

Player comparison

Mathys ErhardLeo Raquillet
Tennis Gauge rating65966479
Tour rankATP #358ATP #559
Last 10 matches4-64-6
Last 30 days2-31-1
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record41-3227-29
UTR14.3413.65
Elo (52 weeks)1423–
Best surfaceHard–
Worst surfaceClay–

Head to head

Mathys Erhard leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
12.10.2026Mathys Erhard6-0, 6-3Italy Olbia

Recent form

Mathys Erhard, last 10

DateOpponentScore
13.10.2026Valentin Royer L7-6, 6-0
12.10.2026Leo Raquillet W6-0, 6-3
11.10.2026Lorenzo Rocco W6-4, 7-6
04.10.2026Oliver Tarvet L6-4, 6-3
28.09.2026Alberto Barroso Campos L5-7, 6-4, 6-2
27.09.2026Paul Theate W6-4, 6-2
20.09.2026Patrick Zahraj L4-6, 7-5, 7-6
09.09.2026Daniil Glinka L7-6, 4-2
08.09.2026Benjamin Pietri W6-3, 6-4
02.09.2026Inaki Montes De La Torre L6-2, 3-6, 6-4

Leo Raquillet, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Michael Geerts L6-0, 6-1
12.10.2026Mathys Erhard L6-0, 6-3
11.10.2026Gabi Adrian Boitan W4-6, 6-4, 6-4
15.09.2026Yanis Ghazouani Durand L6-1, 6-4
07.9.2026Yanis Ghazouani Durand L6-1, 6-3
06.09.2026Matteo Covato W6-2, 6-2
27.08.2026Lenny Couturier L6-3, 4-6, 6-4
25.08.2026Matis Roche W6-0, 6-2
17.08.2026Benjamin Hassan L6-3, 2-6, 7-5
16.08.2026Adrien Berrut W4-6, 6-3, 6-0

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMathys ErhardLeo Raquillet
Charles Broom 1-0
W 6-2, 6-7, 6-1
0-1
L 6-2, 6-1
Filip Jeff Planinsek 0-1
L 2-6, 7-5, 6-3
1-0
W 6-2, 3-6, 6-2
Jan Kumstat 1-0
W 1-6, 7-6, 6-2
0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
Kilian Feldbausch 0-1
L 7-6, 6-0
0-1
L 6-4, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-11: ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), model gave Mathys Erhard 84% at -400

Mathys Erhard vs Leo Raquillet: quick answers

Who won Mathys Erhard vs Leo Raquillet?

Mathys Erhard beat Leo Raquillet 6-0, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Mathys Erhard and Leo Raquillet?

Mathys Erhard leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Mathys Erhard 6-0, 6-3 at Italy Olbia.

Who is in better form, Mathys Erhard or Leo Raquillet?

Mathys Erhard is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Leo Raquillet is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Mathys Erhard and Leo Raquillet?

Mathys Erhard is rated 6596 (ATP #358) and Leo Raquillet is rated 6479 (ATP #559). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Mathys Erhard vs Leo Raquillet?

Mathys Erhard is priced at -400 and Leo Raquillet at +260, which implies a 80% and 28% chance to win. The model rates Mathys Erhard 4 points higher than the odds do (84% vs 80%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.