Mathys Picard vs Leo Borg
Updated
Leo Borg beat Mathys Picard 7-5, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Leo Borg leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Picard is 5-5 in their last 10, Borg 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Leo Borg a 70% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model minus book: -10 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Leo Borg at -385 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mathys Picard | Leo Borg | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6312 | 6390 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1112 | ATP #818 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 4-1 | 3-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 30-20 | 37-24 |
| UTR | 13.26 | 13.45 |
Head to head
Leo Borg leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Leo Borg | 7-5, 6-4 | Tunisia Monastir |
| 16.10.2026 | Leo Borg | 7-5, 6-4 | Tunisia Monastir |
Recent form
Mathys Picard, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Leo Borg | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Leo Borg | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Carles Hernandez | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Alvaro Peiro Serrano | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Kris Van Wyk | L | 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 08.10.2026 | Viktor Frydrych | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Maxime Chazal | W | 5-2 |
| 16.09.2026 | Daniel Domingos | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 06.09.2026 | Noah Boutleux | L | 4-6, 6-1, 1-0 |
| 05.09.2026 | Sacha Grandvincent | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
Leo Borg, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Cezar Cretu | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Liam Delicata | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka | L | 7-6, 5-7, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Kris Van Wyk | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Luca Wiedenmann | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Mathys Picard | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Mathys Picard | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Rocco Piatti | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Adan Freire Da Silva | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Yunseong Chung | L | 3-6, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mathys Picard | Leo Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Adan Freire Da Silva | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-1, 6-0 |
0-1 L 7-6, 5-7, 6-1 |
| Isaac Becroft | 1-0 W 7-5, 0-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 4-6, 6-2 |
| Kris Van Wyk | 0-1 L 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: ATP Monastir (X) II (Tunisia), model gave Mathys Picard 30% at +234
Mathys Picard vs Leo Borg: quick answers
Who won Mathys Picard vs Leo Borg?
Leo Borg beat Mathys Picard 7-5, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Mathys Picard and Leo Borg?
Leo Borg leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Leo Borg 7-5, 6-4 at Tunisia Monastir.
Who is in better form, Mathys Picard or Leo Borg?
Mathys Picard is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Leo Borg is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mathys Picard and Leo Borg?
Mathys Picard is rated 6312 (ATP #1112) and Leo Borg is rated 6390 (ATP #818). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mathys Picard vs Leo Borg?
Mathys Picard is priced at +234 and Leo Borg at -385, which implies a 30% and 79% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.