Luca Wiedenmann vs Leo Borg

ATP Monastir (X) II (Tunisia), Hard. Saturday, October 17, 2026, 02:00.

Updated

Luca Wiedenmann beat Leo Borg 6-2, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Leo Borg at 54%. Luca Wiedenmann leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Wiedenmann is 8-2 in their last 10, Borg 6-4.

Result: Luca Wiedenmann beat Leo Borg 6-2, 7-5. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Leo Borg.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Leo Borg a 54% favorite. At +135 the sportsbook implies 43% for Leo Borg, 12 points below the model's 54%.

Model
46%
Book
67%

Model minus book: -21 pts

Leo Borg +135
Model
54%
Book
43%

Model minus book: +12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Leo Borg at +135 · Model track record

Player comparison

Luca WiedenmannLeo Borg
Tennis Gauge rating64786390
Tour rankATP #562ATP #818
Last 10 matches8-26-4
Last 30 days6-23-1
Current streak6 Wins1 Loss
Season record58-3137-24
UTR13.7413.45

Head to head

Luca Wiedenmann leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
17.10.2026Luca Wiedenmann6-2, 7-5Tunisia Monastir

Recent form

Luca Wiedenmann, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Robin Bertrand W7-6, 6-0
17.10.2026Leo Borg W6-2, 7-5
16.10.2026Samir Hamza Reguig W6-0, 6-0
16.10.2026Samir Hamza Reguig W6-0, 6-0
15.10.2026Kris Van Wyk W6-2, 6-2
14.10.2026Fnu Nidunjianzan W6-1, 6-2
09.10.2026John Echeverria L6-4, 7-5
08.10.2026Isaac Nortey W6-4, 6-4
06.10.2026Andrea Colombo W6-2, 5-7, 6-0
21.09.2026Yanaki Milev L6-2, 6-1

Leo Borg, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Cezar Cretu L6-2, 6-4
28.10.2026Liam Delicata W6-3, 6-3
22.10.2026Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka L7-6, 5-7, 6-1
21.10.2026Kris Van Wyk W6-4, 6-2
17.10.2026Luca Wiedenmann L6-2, 7-5
16.10.2026Mathys Picard W7-5, 6-4
16.10.2026Mathys Picard W7-5, 6-4
15.10.2026Rocco Piatti W6-3, 6-3
13.10.2026Adan Freire Da Silva W6-4, 4-6, 6-4
18.09.2026Yunseong Chung L3-6, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentLuca WiedenmannLeo Borg
Isaac Becroft 1-0
W 7-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-2, 4-6, 6-2
Kris Van Wyk 1-0
W 6-2, 6-2
1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
Samir Hamza Reguig 2-0
W 6-0, 6-0, W 6-0, 6-0
1-0
W 5-7, 6-3, 6-1
Stefan Seifert 1-0
W 6-4, 5-7, 6-2
1-0
W 6-2, 4-6, 6-4
Toufik Sahtali 1-0
W 6-4, 6-7, 6-2
0-1
L 3-6, 6-4, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-16: ATP Monastir (X) II (Tunisia), model gave Luca Wiedenmann 46% at -200

Luca Wiedenmann vs Leo Borg: quick answers

Who won Luca Wiedenmann vs Leo Borg?

Luca Wiedenmann beat Leo Borg 6-2, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Leo Borg at 54%.

What is the head-to-head record between Luca Wiedenmann and Leo Borg?

Luca Wiedenmann leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Luca Wiedenmann 6-2, 7-5 at Tunisia Monastir.

Who is in better form, Luca Wiedenmann or Leo Borg?

Luca Wiedenmann is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 6 Wins). Leo Borg is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Luca Wiedenmann and Leo Borg?

Luca Wiedenmann is rated 6478 (ATP #562) and Leo Borg is rated 6390 (ATP #818). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Luca Wiedenmann vs Leo Borg?

Luca Wiedenmann is priced at -200 and Leo Borg at +135, which implies a 67% and 43% chance to win. The model rates Leo Borg 12 points higher than the odds do (54% vs 43%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.